Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 70%
2 arb excluded
$963.26
$57.67
Smart Money Signal
7 of 11 top traders (64%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 66.4¢ | $401.21 | $491.43 | +$90.22 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 65.9¢ | $172.59 | $173.73 | +$1.14 | 52% 7995-7522 (15517) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 65.9¢ | $114.54 | $173.73 | +$59.19 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 33.7¢ | $58.05 | — | -$58.05 | |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 55.8¢ | $78.1 | — | -$78.1 | 62% 43985-26997 (70982) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025ARB<$100 | Downavg 66.2¢ | $79 | $70.29 | -$8.71 | 58% 60787-44362 (105149) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 65¢ | $32.5 | — | -$32.5 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 66.2¢ | $46.5 | $70.29 | +$23.79 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 59.5¢ | $48.7 | $58 | +$25.17 | 64% 24039-13275 (37314) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $43 | — | -$43 | 56% 58346-45004 (103350) |
TM tmsd-test<$100 | Downavg 52.1¢ | $41.44 | $71.58 | +$30.14 | 54% 14514-12353 (26867) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $16 | $20.38 | +$4.38 | 64% 40342-23071 (63413) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 52.8¢ | $30.6 | $57.91 | +$27.31 | 57% 12718-9428 (22146) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $10.83 | $10.94 | +$0.11 | 93% 23963-1799 (25762) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.1¢ | $1.44 | — | -$1.44 | 63% 52187-31091 (83278) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $6.12 | $9 | +$2.88 | 74% 102799-36473 (139272) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20241-19372 (39613) |
Invested
$401.21
Value
$491.43
PnL
+$90.22
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
Invested
$172.59
Value
$173.73
PnL
+$1.14
Record
52%
7995-7522 (15517)
Both legs:
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$78.1
Value
—
PnL
-$78.1
Record
62%
43985-26997 (70982)
Invested
$79
Value
$70.29
PnL
-$8.71
Record
58%
60787-44362 (105149)
Both legs:
Invested
$48.7
Value
$58
PnL
+$25.17
Record
64%
24039-13275 (37314)
Invested
$43
Value
—
PnL
-$43
Record
56%
58346-45004 (103350)
Invested
$41.44
Value
$71.58
PnL
+$30.14
Record
54%
14514-12353 (26867)
ohioism<$100Invested
$16
Value
$20.38
PnL
+$4.38
Record
64%
40342-23071 (63413)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$30.6
Value
$57.91
PnL
+$27.31
Record
57%
12718-9428 (22146)
Invested
$10.83
Value
$10.94
PnL
+$0.11
Record
93%
23963-1799 (25762)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.44
Value
—
PnL
-$1.44
Record
63%
52187-31091 (83278)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$6.12
Value
$9
PnL
+$2.88
Record
74%
102799-36473 (139272)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20241-19372 (39613)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Down — $491.43
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
ARBArbitrage — excluded
aaa221
Down — $58
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0
tmsd-test
Down — $71.58
ohioism
Down — $20.38
wowitsamazing
Down — $57.91
hoodquant
Down — $10.94