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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Up 55%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$374.3

Combined PnL

-$221.92

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 12 top traders (58%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$316.8

Total Shares317

Combined PnL+$2.1

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares427

Combined PnL-$224.02

Up — 58%Down — 42%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2	Upavg 61.9¢	$159.58	$154.35	-$5.23	52% 7995-7522 (15517)
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100	Downavg 37.3¢	$87.57	$57.5	-$30.07	57% 71206-54306 (125512)
└ Down leg	Downavg 37.3¢	$58.34	—	-$58.34
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.8¢	$29.23	$57.5	+$28.28
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$52.35	—	-$52.35	64% 40342-23071 (63413)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100	Downavg 55.3¢	$64.8	—	-$64.8	57% 12718-9428 (22146)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 56.2¢	$63.07	—	-$63.07	56% 58346-45004 (103350)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 39¢	$32.85	—	-$32.85	62% 43985-26997 (70982)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 70.8¢	$67.1	$42.53	-$13.09	64% 24039-13275 (37314)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$38.61	$39	+$0.39	93% 23963-1799 (25762)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Upavg 63¢	$25.52	$37.14	+$11.62	63% 52187-31091 (83278)
TM tmsd-test<$100	Upavg 64¢	$24.44	$26	+$1.56	54% 14514-12353 (26867)
AS aswfadq1555<$100	Upavg 38.1¢	$10.93	$17.78	+$6.85	54% 15410-13289 (28699)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Downavg 33¢	$10.95	—	-$10.95	55% 18044-14641 (32685)
DE devonpoll<$100	Upavg 76.1¢	—	—	+$0	51% 20241-19372 (39613)

Invested

$159.58

Value

$154.35

PnL

-$5.23

Record

52%

7995-7522 (15517)

uninformedflowwARB<$100

Invested

$87.57

Value

$57.5

PnL

-$30.07

Record

57%

71206-54306 (125512)

Both legs:

Down$58.3437.3¢-$58.34

Up$29.2350.8¢+$28.28

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$52.35

Value

—

PnL

-$52.35

Record

64%

40342-23071 (63413)

wowitsamazingCTR<$100

Invested

$64.8

Value

—

PnL

-$64.8

Record

57%

12718-9428 (22146)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$63.07

Value

—

PnL

-$63.07

Record

56%

58346-45004 (103350)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$32.85

Value

—

PnL

-$32.85

Record

62%

43985-26997 (70982)

Invested

$67.1

Value

$42.53

PnL

-$13.09

Record

64%

24039-13275 (37314)

Invested

$38.61

Value

$39

PnL

+$0.39

Record

93%

23963-1799 (25762)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Invested

$25.52

Value

$37.14

PnL

+$11.62

Record

63%

52187-31091 (83278)

Invested

$24.44

Value

$26

PnL

+$1.56

Record

54%

14514-12353 (26867)

aswfadq1555<$100

Invested

$10.93

Value

$17.78

PnL

+$6.85

Record

54%

15410-13289 (28699)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Invested

$10.95

Value

—

PnL

-$10.95

Record

55%

18044-14641 (32685)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

20241-19372 (39613)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 12 top traders (58%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x4de50478...abea7a

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1793459700

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Up — $154.35

uninformedfloww

Arbitrage — excluded

ohioism

Down — $0

wowitsamazing

Down — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $0

aaa221

Up — $42.53

hoodquant

Up — $39

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $37.14

tmsd-test

Up — $26

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