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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Down 54%

Total Value

$208.66

Combined PnL

-$87.54

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 13 top traders (54%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders
Total Value$208.66
Total Shares209
Combined PnL+$27.96
Down7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares440
Combined PnL-$115.5
Up — 46%Down — 54%
PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$87.09

Value

$85.62

PnL

-$1.47

Record

52%

7995-7522 (15517)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$54.96

Value

—

PnL

-$54.96

Record

57%

71206-54306 (125512)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$38.9

Value

—

PnL

-$38.9

Record

58%

60787-44362 (105149)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$43.69

Value

$44.88

PnL

+$17.03

Record

64%

24039-13275 (37314)

PB
PBot-6<$100
Up

Invested

$26.11

Value

$34.12

PnL

+$8.01

Record

58%

51142-37272 (88414)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

$38.8

Value

$20.47

PnL

-$5.91

Record

51%

20241-19372 (39613)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$7.4

Value

—

PnL

-$7.4

Record

56%

58346-45004 (103350)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Up

Invested

$9.71

Value

$18.57

PnL

+$8.86

Record

58%

38145-27331 (65476)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$7

Value

—

PnL

-$7

Record

62%

43985-26997 (70982)

ohioismCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4

Value

—

PnL

-$4

Record

64%

40342-23071 (63413)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100
Up

Invested

$3.55

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.45

Record

55%

18044-14641 (32685)

AS
aswfadq1555CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.23

Value

—

PnL

-$3.23

Record

54%

15410-13289 (28699)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.01

Value

—

PnL

-$0.01

Record

66%

112343-59004 (171347)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x39f6d0dc...738564
Slug
eth-updown-15m-1793458800

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

Up — $85.62

-$1.47
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Down — $0

-$54.96
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Down — $0

-$38.9
AA

aaa221

Up — $44.88

+$17.03
PB

PBot-6

Up — $34.12

+$8.01
DE

devonpoll

Up — $20.47

-$5.91
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

CTR

Down — $0

-$7.4
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $18.57

+$8.86

G-Penis-Monster

CTR

Down — $0

-$7

ohioism

CTR

Down — $0

-$4
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