Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Down 89%
$479.37
$62.56
Smart Money Signal
8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 88.5Β’ | $192.64 | $217.64 | +$25 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 77.1Β’ | $91.83 | $92.04 | +$0.21 | 52% 7995-7522 (15517) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 79.6Β’ | $61.12 | $52.85 | +$7.22 | 64% 24039-13275 (37314) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 94.4Β’ | $24.58 | $24.7 | +$0.12 | 52% 90814-85344 (176158) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 57.1Β’ | $23 | $40.31 | +$17.31 | 62% 43985-26997 (70982) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 71.3Β’ | $13.5 | $15.71 | +$2.21 | 55% 18044-14641 (32685) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 62Β’ | $12.4 | $20 | +$7.6 | 58% 60787-44362 (105149) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 56Β’ | $9.03 | $16.12 | +$7.09 | 56% 58346-45004 (103350) |
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100 | Upavg 21Β’ | $4.2 | β | -$4.2 | 54% 14514-12353 (26867) |
Invested
$192.64
Value
$217.64
PnL
+$25
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
Invested
$91.83
Value
$92.04
PnL
+$0.21
Record
52%
7995-7522 (15517)
Invested
$61.12
Value
$52.85
PnL
+$7.22
Record
64%
24039-13275 (37314)
Invested
$24.58
Value
$24.7
PnL
+$0.12
Record
52%
90814-85344 (176158)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$23
Value
$40.31
PnL
+$17.31
Record
62%
43985-26997 (70982)
Invested
$13.5
Value
$15.71
PnL
+$2.21
Record
55%
18044-14641 (32685)
Invested
$12.4
Value
$20
PnL
+$7.6
Record
58%
60787-44362 (105149)
Invested
$9.03
Value
$16.12
PnL
+$7.09
Record
56%
58346-45004 (103350)
Invested
$4.2
Value
β
PnL
-$4.2
Record
54%
14514-12353 (26867)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Down β $217.64
ply-pm2
Down β $92.04
aaa221
Down β $52.85
dvasdkasodk
Down β $24.7

G-Penis-Monster
Down β $40.31
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $15.71
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $20
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down β $16.12
tmsd-test
CTRUp β $0