Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Down 36%
$673.38
-$18.21
Smart Money Signal
4 of 11 top traders (36%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $524.7 | $530 | +$5.3 | 93% 23917-1795 (25712) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 67Β’ | $76.9 | $74.31 | -$2.59 | 52% 7945-7473 (15418) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 57.2Β’ | $38.91 | $50.44 | +$23.61 | 64% 23928-13193 (37121) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9Β’ | $18.6 | $18.62 | +$0.02 | 59% 62446-43593 (106039) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 51.1Β’ | $17.45 | β | -$17.45 | 55% 18043-14638 (32681) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 29Β’ | $5.8 | β | -$5.8 | 58% 60750-44342 (105092) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 28.6Β’ | $4.62 | β | -$4.62 | 64% 58676-33266 (91942) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $2 | β | -$2 | 62% 43949-26970 (70919) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 52Β’ | $20.8 | β | -$11.65 | 51% 20217-19360 (39577) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 8Β’ | $1.75 | β | -$1.75 | 63% 52154-31006 (83160) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 7Β’ | $1.28 | β | -$1.28 | 52% 90753-85289 (176042) |
Invested
$524.7
Value
$530
PnL
+$5.3
Record
93%
23917-1795 (25712)
Invested
$76.9
Value
$74.31
PnL
-$2.59
Record
52%
7945-7473 (15418)
Invested
$38.91
Value
$50.44
PnL
+$23.61
Record
64%
23928-13193 (37121)
Invested
$18.6
Value
$18.62
PnL
+$0.02
Record
59%
62446-43593 (106039)
Invested
$17.45
Value
β
PnL
-$17.45
Record
55%
18043-14638 (32681)
Invested
$5.8
Value
β
PnL
-$5.8
Record
58%
60750-44342 (105092)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$4.62
Value
β
PnL
-$4.62
Record
64%
58676-33266 (91942)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2
Value
β
PnL
-$2
Record
62%
43949-26970 (70919)
Invested
$20.8
Value
β
PnL
-$11.65
Record
51%
20217-19360 (39577)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.75
Value
β
PnL
-$1.75
Record
63%
52154-31006 (83160)
Invested
$1.28
Value
β
PnL
-$1.28
Record
52%
90753-85289 (176042)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $530
ply-pm2
Down β $74.31
aaa221
Down β $50.44
0x50f7
Down β $18.62
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp β $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp β $0

Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp β $0

G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp β $0
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0

UpandDownSyndrome
CTRUp β $0