Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Up 89%
$297.58
$21.75
Smart Money Signal
8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 79.1¢ | $93.56 | $98.77 | +$5.21 | 52% 7885-7424 (15309) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 93.8¢ | $51.6 | $55 | +$3.4 | 64% 58572-33180 (91752) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 85.4¢ | $46.38 | $33.54 | +$1.4 | 64% 23828-13134 (36962) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 88¢ | $26.4 | $30 | +$3.6 | 55% 50652-41257 (91909) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 88¢ | $26.4 | $30 | +$3.6 | 55% 49831-40052 (89883) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 95.5¢ | $24.08 | $25.21 | +$1.13 | 63% 52124-30942 (83066) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 74.5¢ | $14.95 | $20.06 | +$5.11 | 51% 20197-19346 (39543) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 93% 23873-1792 (25665) |
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $1.75 | — | -$1.75 | 54% 14498-12337 (26835) |
Invested
$93.56
Value
$98.77
PnL
+$5.21
Record
52%
7885-7424 (15309)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$51.6
Value
$55
PnL
+$3.4
Record
64%
58572-33180 (91752)
Invested
$46.38
Value
$33.54
PnL
+$1.4
Record
64%
23828-13134 (36962)
Invested
$26.4
Value
$30
PnL
+$3.6
Record
55%
50652-41257 (91909)
Invested
$26.4
Value
$30
PnL
+$3.6
Record
55%
49831-40052 (89883)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$24.08
Value
$25.21
PnL
+$1.13
Record
63%
52124-30942 (83066)
Invested
$14.95
Value
$20.06
PnL
+$5.11
Record
51%
20197-19346 (39543)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
93%
23873-1792 (25665)
Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.75
Record
54%
14498-12337 (26835)
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