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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 67%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$719.78

Combined PnL

-$0.16

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders
Total Value$586.74
Total Shares587
Combined PnL+$13.97
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares57
Combined PnL-$14.13
Up — 70%Down — 30%
HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$341.55

Value

$345

PnL

+$3.45

Record

93%

23850-1790 (25640)

PL
ply-pm2
Up

Invested

$146.75

Value

$149.26

PnL

+$2.52

Record

51%

7854-7405 (15259)

Polkadot-FrogARB<$100
Up

Invested

$158.01

Value

$133.04

PnL

-$24.97

Record

64%

58572-33178 (91750)

Both legs:

Up$113.8285.6¢+$19.22
Down$44.1933¢-$44.19
UpandDownSyndrome<$100
Up

Invested

$36.06

Value

$26.29

PnL

-$9.77

Record

63%

52106-30898 (83004)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$37.09

Value

$51.93

PnL

+$14.84

Record

64%

23759-13098 (36857)

MO
mo-moneyCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$7.5

Value

—

PnL

-$7.5

Record

55%

50645-41244 (91889)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$6.05

Value

$5

PnL

-$1.05

Record

52%

90652-85212 (175864)

AL
almachCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.75

Value

—

PnL

-$3.75

Record

55%

48556-40105 (88661)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Up

Invested

$5.28

Value

$9.26

PnL

+$3.98

Record

58%

38071-27285 (65356)

BO
bosonaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.88

Value

—

PnL

-$2.88

Record

55%

49831-40051 (89882)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

20187-19342 (39529)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xab75a79e...17c65d
Slug
eth-updown-15m-1793429100

Traders in this Market

HO

hoodquant

Up — $345

+$3.45
PL

ply-pm2

Up — $149.26

+$2.52

Polkadot-Frog

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$24.97

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $26.29

-$9.77
AA

aaa221

Up — $51.93

+$14.84
MO

mo-money

CTR

Down — $0

-$7.5
DV

dvasdkasodk

Up — $5

-$1.05
AL

almach

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.75
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $9.26

+$3.98
BO

bosona

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.88
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