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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

15

Up 57%

Total Value

$286.35

Combined PnL

-$121.78

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 15 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up9 traders

Total Value$286.35

Total Shares286

Combined PnL+$22.41

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares181

Combined PnL-$144.18

Up — 60%Down — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TM tmsd-test	Upavg 90¢	$92.59	$102.82	+$10.23	54% 14497-12335 (26832)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 58.8¢	$69.27	—	-$69.27	51% 7854-7405 (15259)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 62.6¢	$54.17	$42.13	-$1.29	64% 23759-13098 (36857)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 76.4¢	$36.28	$47.5	+$11.23	58% 60707-44323 (105030)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Upavg 98¢	$35.27	$30	-$5.27	63% 52106-30898 (83004)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 85¢	$29.75	$35	+$5.25	56% 58251-44962 (103213)
AL almachCTR<$100	Downavg 67¢	$20.1	—	-$20.1	55% 48556-40105 (88661)
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100	Downavg 67¢	$20.1	—	-$20.1	55% 50645-41244 (91889)
BO bosonaCTR<$100	Downavg 67¢	$20.1	—	-$20.1	55% 49831-40051 (89882)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 92¢	$17.39	$18.9	+$1.51	62% 43927-26950 (70877)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Downavg 50¢	$9.7	—	-$9.7	58% 51074-37214 (88288)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 99¢	$4.95	$5	+$0.05	52% 90652-85212 (175864)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 86¢	$4.3	$5	+$0.7	64% 40258-23030 (63288)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 56¢	$4.91	—	-$4.91	66% 112305-58874 (171179)
DE devonpoll<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	51% 20187-19342 (39529)

Invested

$92.59

Value

$102.82

PnL

+$10.23

Record

54%

14497-12335 (26832)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$69.27

Value

—

PnL

-$69.27

Record

51%

7854-7405 (15259)

Invested

$54.17

Value

$42.13

PnL

-$1.29

Record

64%

23759-13098 (36857)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$36.28

Value

$47.5

PnL

+$11.23

Record

58%

60707-44323 (105030)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Invested

$35.27

Value

$30

PnL

-$5.27

Record

63%

52106-30898 (83004)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$29.75

Value

$35

PnL

+$5.25

Record

56%

58251-44962 (103213)

Invested

$20.1

Value

—

PnL

-$20.1

Record

55%

48556-40105 (88661)

mo-moneyCTR<$100

Invested

$20.1

Value

—

PnL

-$20.1

Record

55%

50645-41244 (91889)

Invested

$20.1

Value

—

PnL

-$20.1

Record

55%

49831-40051 (89882)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$17.39

Value

$18.9

PnL

+$1.51

Record

62%

43927-26950 (70877)

Invested

$9.7

Value

—

PnL

-$9.7

Record

58%

51074-37214 (88288)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

52%

90652-85212 (175864)

Invested

$4.3

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.7

Record

64%

40258-23030 (63288)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$4.91

Value

—

PnL

-$4.91

Record

66%

112305-58874 (171179)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

20187-19342 (39529)

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 15 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xee9a1848...0752e2

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1793428200

Traders in this Market

tmsd-test

Up — $102.82

ply-pm2

Down — $0

aaa221

Up — $42.13

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $47.5

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $30

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $35

almach

Down — $0

mo-money

Down — $0

bosona

Down — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $18.9

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