Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Up 88%
$119.52
$12.75
Smart Money Signal
7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 82.3Β’ | $51.18 | $31.02 | +$2.63 | 64% 23717-13072 (36789) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $29.7 | $30 | +$0.3 | 93% 23822-1789 (25611) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $12.31 | $12.43 | +$0.12 | 63% 52091-30868 (82959) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 76.7Β’ | $15.6 | $20.35 | +$4.75 | 51% 20177-19342 (39519) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 94Β’ | $5.76 | $6.13 | +$0.37 | 52% 90624-85193 (175817) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 73Β’ | $7.3 | $10 | +$2.7 | 51% 7828-7386 (15214) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 59Β’ | $5.66 | $9.59 | +$3.93 | 58% 38054-27274 (65328) |
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100 | Downavg 41Β’ | $2.05 | β | -$2.05 | 54% 14497-12331 (26828) |
Invested
$51.18
Value
$31.02
PnL
+$2.63
Record
64%
23717-13072 (36789)
Invested
$29.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.3
Record
93%
23822-1789 (25611)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$12.31
Value
$12.43
PnL
+$0.12
Record
63%
52091-30868 (82959)
Invested
$15.6
Value
$20.35
PnL
+$4.75
Record
51%
20177-19342 (39519)
Invested
$5.76
Value
$6.13
PnL
+$0.37
Record
52%
90624-85193 (175817)
Invested
$7.3
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.7
Record
51%
7828-7386 (15214)
Invested
$5.66
Value
$9.59
PnL
+$3.93
Record
58%
38054-27274 (65328)
Invested
$2.05
Value
β
PnL
-$2.05
Record
54%
14497-12331 (26828)
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