Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
12
Up 55%
1 arb excluded
$2.5K
-$17.36
Smart Money Signal
7 of 12 top traders (58%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99Β’ | $1.6K | $1.6K | +$16.48 | 93% 23707-1785 (25492) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 51.1Β’ | $252.02 | $263.13 | +$11.11 | 51% 7743-7307 (15050) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 51.1Β’ | $134.57 | $263.13 | +$128.56 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 19Β’ | $117.45 | β | -$117.45 | |
![]() BoneOhio | Upavg 99Β’ | $361.39 | $365 | +$3.61 | 74% 102628-36442 (139070) |
TM tmsd-test | Upavg 65Β’ | $218.04 | $229.85 | +$11.81 | 54% 14486-12318 (26804) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 72Β’ | $72.61 | $59.99 | +$4.89 | 64% 23528-12966 (36494) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $13.27 | β | -$13.27 | 58% 51036-37181 (88217) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 65.9Β’ | $10.09 | $10.55 | +$0.46 | 52% 90518-85062 (175580) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 18Β’ | $9 | β | -$9 | 64% 40197-22999 (63196) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 19Β’ | $9.5 | β | -$9.5 | 56% 58191-44916 (103107) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 16.9Β’ | $6.57 | β | -$6.57 | 63% 52043-30715 (82758) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 18.7Β’ | $16.45 | β | -$16.45 | 55% 17960-14549 (32509) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 54Β’ | $4.82 | $5 | +$0.18 | 58% 37996-27224 (65220) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 79.4Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20141-19302 (39443) |
Invested
$1,572.73
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$16.48
Record
93%
23707-1785 (25492)
Invested
$252.02
Value
$263.13
PnL
+$11.11
Record
51%
7743-7307 (15050)
Both legs:
BoneOhioInvested
$361.39
Value
$365
PnL
+$3.61
Record
74%
102628-36442 (139070)
Invested
$218.04
Value
$229.85
PnL
+$11.81
Record
54%
14486-12318 (26804)
Invested
$72.61
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$4.89
Record
64%
23528-12966 (36494)
Invested
$13.27
Value
β
PnL
-$13.27
Record
58%
51036-37181 (88217)
Invested
$10.09
Value
$10.55
PnL
+$0.46
Record
52%
90518-85062 (175580)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$9
Value
β
PnL
-$9
Record
64%
40197-22999 (63196)
Invested
$9.5
Value
β
PnL
-$9.5
Record
56%
58191-44916 (103107)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$6.57
Value
β
PnL
-$6.57
Record
63%
52043-30715 (82758)
Invested
$16.45
Value
β
PnL
-$16.45
Record
55%
17960-14549 (32509)
Invested
$4.82
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.18
Record
58%
37996-27224 (65220)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20141-19302 (39443)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up β $1.6K
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded

BoneOhio
Up β $365
tmsd-test
Up β $229.85
aaa221
Up β $59.99
PBot-6
CTRDown β $0
dvasdkasodk
Up β $10.55

ohioism
CTRDown β $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown β $0

UpandDownSyndrome
CTRDown β $0