Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Down 75%
$164.03
$36.22
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 80.4¢ | $66.5 | $60 | +$10.95 | 64% 23528-12966 (36494) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 73.3¢ | $23.59 | $23.32 | -$0.27 | 51% 7743-7307 (15050) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $20.4 | $40 | +$19.6 | 58% 51036-37181 (88217) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.2¢ | $3.63 | — | -$3.63 | 63% 52043-30715 (82758) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $16.8 | $20 | +$3.2 | 64% 40197-22999 (63196) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 58.7¢ | $9.07 | $15.44 | +$6.37 | 58% 37996-27224 (65220) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $5.23 | $5.28 | +$0.05 | 93% 23707-1785 (25492) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112280-58767 (171047) |
Invested
$66.5
Value
$60
PnL
+$10.95
Record
64%
23528-12966 (36494)
Invested
$23.59
Value
$23.32
PnL
-$0.27
Record
51%
7743-7307 (15050)
Invested
$20.4
Value
$40
PnL
+$19.6
Record
58%
51036-37181 (88217)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3.63
Value
—
PnL
-$3.63
Record
63%
52043-30715 (82758)
ohioism<$100Invested
$16.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$3.2
Record
64%
40197-22999 (63196)
Invested
$9.07
Value
$15.44
PnL
+$6.37
Record
58%
37996-27224 (65220)
Invested
$5.23
Value
$5.28
PnL
+$0.05
Record
93%
23707-1785 (25492)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112280-58767 (171047)
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