Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Up 88%
$1.1K
$20.52
Smart Money Signal
7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98Β’ | $612.5 | $625 | +$12.5 | 93% 23707-1785 (25492) |
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9Β’ | $368.9 | $369.27 | +$0.37 | 59% 62333-43508 (105841) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 95.1Β’ | $59.91 | $59.99 | +$0.41 | 64% 23528-12966 (36494) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 70.1Β’ | $46.84 | $45.88 | -$0.96 | 51% 7743-7307 (15050) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 81.1Β’ | $21.9 | $27 | +$5.1 | 64% 40197-22999 (63196) |
TM tmsd-test<$100 | Upavg 74Β’ | $12.58 | $17 | +$4.42 | 54% 14486-12318 (26804) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 92Β’ | $4.7 | $5.11 | +$0.41 | 52% 90518-85062 (175580) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 7Β’ | $1.73 | β | -$1.73 | 63% 52043-30715 (82758) |
Invested
$612.5
Value
$625
PnL
+$12.5
Record
93%
23707-1785 (25492)
Invested
$368.9
Value
$369.27
PnL
+$0.37
Record
59%
62333-43508 (105841)
Invested
$59.91
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$0.41
Record
64%
23528-12966 (36494)
Invested
$46.84
Value
$45.88
PnL
-$0.96
Record
51%
7743-7307 (15050)
ohioism<$100Invested
$21.9
Value
$27
PnL
+$5.1
Record
64%
40197-22999 (63196)
Invested
$12.58
Value
$17
PnL
+$4.42
Record
54%
14486-12318 (26804)
Invested
$4.7
Value
$5.11
PnL
+$0.41
Record
52%
90518-85062 (175580)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.73
Value
β
PnL
-$1.73
Record
63%
52043-30715 (82758)
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