Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 67%
$189.17
$9.25
Smart Money Signal
6 of 10 top traders (60%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $94.05 | $95 | +$0.95 | 93% 23670-1781 (25451) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 67Β’ | $33.5 | $50 | +$16.5 | 64% 40191-22989 (63180) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 86.3Β’ | $14.89 | $17.26 | +$2.37 | 64% 23481-12947 (36428) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 83.5Β’ | $11.74 | $10.88 | -$0.85 | 51% 7723-7285 (15008) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 48Β’ | $8.16 | β | -$8.16 | 56% 58175-44902 (103077) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 98.9Β’ | $5.94 | $6.01 | +$0.07 | 52% 90492-85022 (175514) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 45Β’ | $4.65 | β | -$4.65 | 55% 17960-14547 (32507) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $5.01 | $10.02 | +$5.01 | 58% 37968-27204 (65172) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 3Β’ | $1.98 | β | -$1.98 | 63% 52032-30695 (82727) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 3Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20126-19292 (39418) |
Invested
$94.05
Value
$95
PnL
+$0.95
Record
93%
23670-1781 (25451)
ohioism<$100Invested
$33.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$16.5
Record
64%
40191-22989 (63180)
Invested
$14.89
Value
$17.26
PnL
+$2.37
Record
64%
23481-12947 (36428)
Invested
$11.74
Value
$10.88
PnL
-$0.85
Record
51%
7723-7285 (15008)
Invested
$8.16
Value
β
PnL
-$8.16
Record
56%
58175-44902 (103077)
Invested
$5.94
Value
$6.01
PnL
+$0.07
Record
52%
90492-85022 (175514)
Invested
$4.65
Value
β
PnL
-$4.65
Record
55%
17960-14547 (32507)
Invested
$5.01
Value
$10.02
PnL
+$5.01
Record
58%
37968-27204 (65172)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.98
Value
β
PnL
-$1.98
Record
63%
52032-30695 (82727)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20126-19292 (39418)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $95

ohioism
Down β $50
aaa221
Down β $17.26
ply-pm2
Down β $10.88
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp β $0
dvasdkasodk
Down β $6.01
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $10.02

UpandDownSyndrome
CTRUp β $0
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0