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DownDownDownUpDownDownUp Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Down 71%
Total Value
$598.21
Combined PnL
$14.51
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down5 traders
Total Value$598.21
Total Shares598
Combined PnL+$20.18
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares24
Combined PnL-$5.67
Down β 71%Up β 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98Β’ | $472.36 | $482 | +$9.64 | 93% 23629-1777 (25406) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 83.6Β’ | $81.31 | $70.21 | +$1.73 | 64% 23436-12922 (36358) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 62.7Β’ | $26.2 | $30 | +$3.8 | 51% 7702-7260 (14962) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 27Β’ | $4.59 | β | -$4.59 | 51% 20120-19270 (39390) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9Β’ | $5.99 | $6 | +$0.01 | 59% 62303-43482 (105785) |
TM tmsd-test<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $5 | $10 | +$5 | 54% 14479-12311 (26790) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 16Β’ | $1.08 | β | -$1.08 | 52% 90461-84991 (175452) |
HO
hoodquantInvested
$472.36
Value
$482
PnL
+$9.64
Record
93%
23629-1777 (25406)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$81.31
Value
$70.21
PnL
+$1.73
Record
64%
23436-12922 (36358)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$26.2
Value
$30
PnL
+$3.8
Record
51%
7702-7260 (14962)
DE
devonpollCTR<$100Invested
$4.59
Value
β
PnL
-$4.59
Record
51%
20120-19270 (39390)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
$5.99
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.01
Record
59%
62303-43482 (105785)
TM
tmsd-test<$100Invested
$5
Value
$10
PnL
+$5
Record
54%
14479-12311 (26790)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.08
Value
β
PnL
-$1.08
Record
52%
90461-84991 (175452)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe4792632...fdb82a
Slug
eth-updown-15m-1793393100