Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Down 67%
4 arb excluded
$2.5K
$58.41
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.4¢ | $1.1K | $1.2K | +$18.67 | 93% 23585-1776 (25361) |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Upavg 20.3¢ | $364.35 | $588.33 | +$223.98 | 57% 71009-54091 (125100) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 24¢ | $140.95 | $588.33 | +$447.38 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 20.3¢ | $223.4 | — | -$223.4 | |
TM tmsd-testARB<$100 | Upavg 24.4¢ | $294.32 | $144.27 | -$150.05 | 54% 14477-12310 (26787) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 24.4¢ | $198.83 | — | -$198.83 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 66.2¢ | $95.49 | $144.27 | +$48.78 | |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 61.5¢ | $230.42 | $243.77 | +$13.35 | 51% 7681-7235 (14916) |
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100 | Upavg 37.4¢ | $144.3 | $134.61 | -$9.68 | 54% 15363-13243 (28606) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 44.3¢ | $59.67 | $134.61 | +$74.95 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 37.4¢ | $84.63 | — | -$84.63 | |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025ARB<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $26.1 | $50 | +$23.9 | 58% 60607-44251 (104858) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 21¢ | $10.5 | $50 | +$39.5 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 10¢ | $15.6 | — | -$15.6 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 62.6¢ | $76.65 | $56.31 | +$9.95 | 64% 23388-12902 (36290) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $4 | $50 | +$46 | 64% 40165-22974 (63139) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.2¢ | $11.6 | — | -$11.6 | 52% 90443-84945 (175388) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $12 | — | -$12 | 51% 20108-19252 (39360) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $4.41 | $12.82 | +$8.41 | 66% 112233-58692 (170925) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 80.9¢ | $16.42 | — | -$16.42 | 56% 58145-44880 (103025) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $1.97 | $4.02 | +$2.05 | 46% 7988-9443 (17431) |
Invested
$1,148.4
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$18.67
Record
93%
23585-1776 (25361)
Invested
$364.35
Value
$588.33
PnL
+$223.98
Record
57%
71009-54091 (125100)
Both legs:
Invested
$294.32
Value
$144.27
PnL
-$150.05
Record
54%
14477-12310 (26787)
Both legs:
Invested
$230.42
Value
$243.77
PnL
+$13.35
Record
51%
7681-7235 (14916)
Invested
$144.3
Value
$134.61
PnL
-$9.68
Record
54%
15363-13243 (28606)
Both legs:
Invested
$26.1
Value
$50
PnL
+$23.9
Record
58%
60607-44251 (104858)
Both legs:
Invested
$76.65
Value
$56.31
PnL
+$9.95
Record
64%
23388-12902 (36290)
ohioism<$100Invested
$4
Value
$50
PnL
+$46
Record
64%
40165-22974 (63139)
Invested
$11.6
Value
—
PnL
-$11.6
Record
52%
90443-84945 (175388)
Invested
$12
Value
—
PnL
-$12
Record
51%
20108-19252 (39360)
Invested
$4.41
Value
$12.82
PnL
+$8.41
Record
66%
112233-58692 (170925)
Invested
$16.42
Value
—
PnL
-$16.42
Record
56%
58145-44880 (103025)
Invested
$1.97
Value
$4.02
PnL
+$2.05
Record
46%
7988-9443 (17431)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.2K
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage — excluded
tmsd-test
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
Down — $243.77
aswfadq1555
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
ARBArbitrage — excluded
aaa221
Down — $56.31
ohioism
Down — $50
dvasdkasodk
CTRUp — $0
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0