Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Resolved Down. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 50%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$553.83

Combined PnL

-$247.27

Down

5 of 11 top traders (45%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Down5 traders

Total Value$407.46

Total Shares407

Combined PnL+$14.67

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares960

Combined PnL-$261.94

Down — 45%Up — 55%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7	Downavg 99.9¢	$266.78	$267.05	+$0.27	59% 62273-43446 (105719)
UN uninformedflowwCTR	Upavg 24.9¢	$216.28	—	-$216.28	57% 70965-54043 (125008)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$86.13	$87	+$0.87	93% 23541-1774 (25315)
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 63.3¢	$77.39	$79.99	+$2.6	51% 7651-7211 (14862)
└ Down leg	Downavg 63.3¢	$50.64	$79.99	+$29.35
└ Up leg	Upavg 36.1¢	$26.75	—	-$26.75
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100	Downavg 59.6¢	$29.63	$66.38	+$36.75	54% 15356-13237 (28593)
└ Down leg	Downavg 59.6¢	$39.53	$66.38	+$51.41
└ Up leg	Upavg 41.7¢	$14.66	—	-$14.66
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 72.4¢	$46.74	$35.98	+$11.11	64% 23325-12863 (36188)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 45¢	$21.45	—	-$21.45	58% 60586-44234 (104820)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Upavg 42.4¢	$26.2	—	-$8.2	51% 20092-19247 (39339)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Upavg 35.7¢	$15.8	—	-$15.8	55% 17859-14473 (32332)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Downavg 97¢	$12.51	$12.9	+$0.39	63% 51987-30635 (82622)
BoneOhio<$100	Downavg 55¢	$2.49	$4.53	+$2.04	74% 102568-36422 (138990)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 22¢	$0.2	—	-$0.2	56% 58116-44865 (102981)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.01	—	-$0.01	66% 112214-58657 (170871)