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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 45%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

-$64.74

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 11 top traders (45%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$824.85
Total Shares825
Combined PnL+$51.35
Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares123
Combined PnL-$116.09
Up — 45%Down — 55%
HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$703.36

Value

$712.08

PnL

+$8.72

Record

93%

23498-1772 (25270)

AS
aswfadq1555ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$186.77

Value

$234

PnL

+$47.23

Record

54%

15350-13232 (28582)

Both legs:

Up$91.839.2¢+$142.2
Down$94.9754.6¢-$94.97
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$60.29

Value

—

PnL

-$60.29

Record

51%

7617-7193 (14810)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$42.7

Value

$60

PnL

+$23.64

Record

64%

23273-12819 (36092)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Up

Invested

$13.29

Value

$30

PnL

+$16.71

Record

57%

70922-54007 (124929)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100
Up

Invested

$12.39

Value

$12.77

PnL

+$0.38

Record

63%

51950-30621 (82571)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$19.27

Value

—

PnL

-$19.27

Record

58%

60561-44221 (104782)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$15.8

Value

—

PnL

-$15.8

Record

55%

17817-14432 (32249)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$9.36

Value

—

PnL

-$9.36

Record

56%

58095-44840 (102935)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

$8.1

Value

$10

PnL

+$1.9

Record

51%

20087-19234 (39321)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$6.47

Value

—

PnL

-$6.47

Record

52%

90356-84870 (175226)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.9

Value

—

PnL

-$4.9

Record

58%

37856-27105 (64961)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xb75ef2a7...07c275
Slug
eth-updown-15m-1793376000

Traders in this Market

HO

hoodquant

Up — $712.08

+$8.72
AS

aswfadq1555

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$47.23
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$60.29
AA

aaa221

Up — $60

+$23.64
UN

uninformedfloww

Up — $30

+$16.71

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $12.77

+$0.38
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Down — $0

-$19.27
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

CTR

Down — $0

-$15.8
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

CTR

Down — $0

-$9.36
DE

devonpoll

Up — $10

+$1.9
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