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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 67%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.2K

Combined PnL

$44.57

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 10 top traders (70%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$988.56

Total Shares989

Combined PnL+$105.06

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares313

Combined PnL-$60.49

Up — 70%Down — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 72.6¢	$622.02	$708.28	+$86.26	67% 99557-47950 (147507)
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100	Downavg 38.7¢	$188.47	$96.56	-$91.91	54% 15350-13232 (28582)
└ Down leg	Downavg 38.7¢	$109.7	—	-$109.7
└ Up leg	Upavg 81.6¢	$78.77	$96.56	+$17.79
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 73¢	$135.9	$135	-$0.9	51% 7617-7193 (14810)
└ Down leg	Downavg 26.6¢	$37.3	—	-$37.3
└ Up leg	Upavg 73¢	$98.6	$135	+$36.4
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 22¢	$54.9	—	-$54.9	57% 70922-54007 (124929)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$198	$200	+$2	93% 23498-1772 (25270)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 8¢	$4.54	—	-$4.54	58% 60561-44221 (104782)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 47.5¢	$18.89	$39.76	+$20.87	56% 58095-44840 (102935)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 91¢	$25.83	$15.72	-$10.11	64% 23273-12819 (36092)
DE devonpoll<$100	Upavg 82¢	$16.4	$20	+$3.6	51% 20087-19234 (39321)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Downavg 16¢	$1.05	—	-$1.05	55% 17817-14432 (32249)
PB PBot-6<$100	Upavg 49¢	$1.92	$3.92	+$2	58% 51007-37153 (88160)
38 38791873984189<$100	Upavg 49¢	$0.43	$0.88	+$0.45	46% 7951-9381 (17332)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$622.02

Value

$708.28

PnL

+$86.26

Record

67%

99557-47950 (147507)

aswfadq1555ARB<$100

Invested

$188.47

Value

$96.56

PnL

-$91.91

Record

54%

15350-13232 (28582)

Both legs:

Down$109.738.7¢-$109.7

Up$78.7781.6¢+$17.79

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$135.9

Value

$135

PnL

-$0.9

Record

51%

7617-7193 (14810)

Both legs:

Down$37.326.6¢-$37.3

Up$98.673¢+$36.4

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$54.9

Value

—

PnL

-$54.9

Record

57%

70922-54007 (124929)

Invested

$198

Value

$200

PnL

+$2

Record

93%

23498-1772 (25270)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$4.54

Value

—

PnL

-$4.54

Record

58%

60561-44221 (104782)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$18.89

Value

$39.76

PnL

+$20.87

Record

56%

58095-44840 (102935)

Invested

$25.83

Value

$15.72

PnL

-$10.11

Record

64%

23273-12819 (36092)

Invested

$16.4

Value

$20

PnL

+$3.6

Record

51%

20087-19234 (39321)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Invested

$1.05

Value

—

PnL

-$1.05

Record

55%

17817-14432 (32249)

Invested

$1.92

Value

$3.92

PnL

+$2

Record

58%

51007-37153 (88160)

38791873984189<$100

Invested

$0.43

Value

$0.88

PnL

+$0.45

Record

46%

7951-9381 (17332)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 10 top traders (70%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xdbea8884...66463b

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1793371500

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $708.28

aswfadq1555

Arbitrage — excluded

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

hoodquant

Up — $200

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $39.76

aaa221

Up — $15.72

devonpoll

Up — $20

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $0

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