Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Down 33%
1 arb excluded
$2.9K
-$683.95
Smart Money Signal
6 of 18 top traders (33%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 63.9¢ | $2.2K | $1.7K | -$443.57 | 68% 99525-47913 (147438) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 57.2¢ | $1.1K | — | $-1.1K | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 63.9¢ | $1.1K | $1.7K | +$617.1 | |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.3¢ | $561.46 | $571.3 | +$9.84 | 93% 23467-1770 (25237) |
TM tmsd-test | Downavg 39.8¢ | $410.11 | $471.42 | +$133.55 | 54% 14469-12303 (26772) |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Upavg 54.7¢ | $284.07 | — | -$284.07 | 51% 7596-7161 (14757) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR | Upavg 55.3¢ | $143.42 | — | -$143.42 | 54% 15343-13227 (28570) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 39.4¢ | $159.6 | — | -$159.6 | 57% 70901-53981 (124882) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 42.3¢ | $35.66 | $77.93 | +$42.27 | 62% 43835-26840 (70675) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 58.2¢ | $74.22 | — | -$74.22 | 56% 58073-44827 (102900) |
AA aaa221CTR | Upavg 78.1¢ | $104.09 | — | -$70.66 | 64% 23206-12791 (35997) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $33 | — | -$33 | 57% 12656-9358 (22014) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $21.2 | $50.18 | +$28.98 | 64% 40110-22937 (63047) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 56.4¢ | $31.95 | — | -$31.95 | 55% 17781-14392 (32173) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 151.5¢ | $33.6 | — | -$33.6 | 51% 20077-19224 (39301) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 43.5¢ | $16.55 | — | -$16.55 | 52% 90329-84819 (175148) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 53.5¢ | $45.39 | — | -$45.39 | 58% 37847-27088 (64935) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 40.2¢ | $5.46 | — | -$5.46 | 66% 112173-58591 (170764) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $6.22 | — | -$6.22 | 63% 51921-30603 (82524) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $2.88 | $5.88 | +$3 | 46% 7940-9367 (17307) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $2.45 | $5 | +$2.55 | 58% 60547-44207 (104754) |
Invested
$2,151.02
Value
$1.7K
PnL
-$443.57
Record
68%
99525-47913 (147438)
Both legs:
Invested
$561.46
Value
$571.3
PnL
+$9.84
Record
93%
23467-1770 (25237)
Invested
$410.11
Value
$471.42
PnL
+$133.55
Record
54%
14469-12303 (26772)
Invested
$284.07
Value
—
PnL
-$284.07
Record
51%
7596-7161 (14757)
Invested
$143.42
Value
—
PnL
-$143.42
Record
54%
15343-13227 (28570)
Invested
$159.6
Value
—
PnL
-$159.6
Record
57%
70901-53981 (124882)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$35.66
Value
$77.93
PnL
+$42.27
Record
62%
43835-26840 (70675)
Invested
$74.22
Value
—
PnL
-$74.22
Record
56%
58073-44827 (102900)
Invested
$104.09
Value
—
PnL
-$70.66
Record
64%
23206-12791 (35997)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$33
Value
—
PnL
-$33
Record
57%
12656-9358 (22014)
ohioism<$100Invested
$21.2
Value
$50.18
PnL
+$28.98
Record
64%
40110-22937 (63047)
Invested
$31.95
Value
—
PnL
-$31.95
Record
55%
17781-14392 (32173)
Invested
$33.6
Value
—
PnL
-$33.6
Record
51%
20077-19224 (39301)
Invested
$16.55
Value
—
PnL
-$16.55
Record
52%
90329-84819 (175148)
Invested
$45.39
Value
—
PnL
-$45.39
Record
58%
37847-27088 (64935)
Invested
$5.46
Value
—
PnL
-$5.46
Record
66%
112173-58591 (170764)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$6.22
Value
—
PnL
-$6.22
Record
63%
51921-30603 (82524)
Invested
$2.88
Value
$5.88
PnL
+$3
Record
46%
7940-9367 (17307)
Invested
$2.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.55
Record
58%
60547-44207 (104754)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Down — $571.3
tmsd-test
Down — $471.42
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
aswfadq1555
CTRUp — $0
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $77.93
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
wowitsamazing
CTRUp — $0