Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 70%
$453.07
$5.97
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 50.3Β’ | $139.08 | $183.72 | +$44.64 | 68% 99494-47875 (147369) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $128.7 | $130 | +$1.3 | 93% 23431-1770 (25201) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 96Β’ | $38.78 | $40.41 | +$1.63 | 63% 51894-30579 (82473) |
0D 0x0d2d...7ff5CTR<$100 | Upavg 48.4Β’ | $32.94 | β | -$32.94 | 46% 7925-9338 (17263) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 67.4Β’ | $35.3 | $32.65 | -$2.64 | 51% 7567-7131 (14698) |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Downavg 48.8Β’ | $23.6 | $30 | +$6.4 | 54% 15334-13221 (28555) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 52.9Β’ | $23.16 | $31.29 | +$8.13 | 64% 23134-12762 (35896) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 53Β’ | $10.8 | β | -$10.8 | 51% 20069-19215 (39284) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.3Β’ | $12.2 | β | -$12.2 | 57% 70744-53860 (124604) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 51Β’ | $2.55 | $5 | +$2.45 | 58% 50993-37138 (88131) |
Invested
$139.08
Value
$183.72
PnL
+$44.64
Record
68%
99494-47875 (147369)
Invested
$128.7
Value
$130
PnL
+$1.3
Record
93%
23431-1770 (25201)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$38.78
Value
$40.41
PnL
+$1.63
Record
63%
51894-30579 (82473)
Invested
$32.94
Value
β
PnL
-$32.94
Record
46%
7925-9338 (17263)
Invested
$35.3
Value
$32.65
PnL
-$2.64
Record
51%
7567-7131 (14698)
Invested
$23.6
Value
$30
PnL
+$6.4
Record
54%
15334-13221 (28555)
Invested
$23.16
Value
$31.29
PnL
+$8.13
Record
64%
23134-12762 (35896)
Invested
$10.8
Value
β
PnL
-$10.8
Record
51%
20069-19215 (39284)
Invested
$12.2
Value
β
PnL
-$12.2
Record
57%
70744-53860 (124604)
Invested
$2.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.45
Record
58%
50993-37138 (88131)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $183.72
hoodquant
Down β $130

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $40.41
0x0d2d...7ff5
CTRUp β $0
ply-pm2
Down β $32.65
aswfadq1555
Down β $30
aaa221
Down β $31.29
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0
uninformedfloww
CTRUp β $0
PBot-6
Down β $5