Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Down 55%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$502.53

Combined PnL

-$9.61

Down

6 of 11 top traders (55%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up100%

Down0%

Up5 traders

Total Value$229.37

Total Shares229

Combined PnL+$95.01

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares140

Combined PnL-$104.62

Up — 45%Down — 55%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 53.3¢	$187.59	$185.13	-$2.46	52% 7510-7071 (14581)
└ Down leg	Downavg 53.3¢	$108.57	—	-$108.57
└ Up leg	Upavg 42.7¢	$79.02	$185.13	+$106.11
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100	Downavg 51.9¢	$88.9	$88.02	-$0.88	54% 15320-13208 (28528)
└ Down leg	Downavg 51.9¢	$49.08	—	-$49.08
└ Up leg	Upavg 45.2¢	$39.82	$88.02	+$48.2
TM tmsd-test	Upavg 46.5¢	$81.52	$144.5	+$62.99	54% 14462-12298 (26760)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 60.1¢	$56.77	—	-$42.77	64% 23032-12691 (35723)
wowitsamazing<$100	Upavg 59.7¢	$39	$65.28	+$26.28	58% 12640-9338 (21978)
0D 0x0d2d...7ff5CTR<$100	Downavg 48.4¢	$17.64	—	-$17.64	46% 7894-9296 (17190)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 62¢	$15.61	—	-$15.61	58% 60496-44176 (104672)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 47.6¢	$13.6	—	-$13.6	52% 90207-84703 (174910)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 42¢	$9.92	—	-$9.92	66% 112105-58496 (170601)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 38¢	$5.09	—	-$5.09	64% 40063-22906 (62969)
DE devonpoll<$100	Upavg 44¢	$8.8	$10	+$4.9	51% 20047-19201 (39248)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 90¢	$7.45	$8.28	+$0.83	56% 58006-44794 (102800)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$1.3	$1.31	+$0.01	93% 23362-1766 (25128)