Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 67%
$240.65
-$19.83
Smart Money Signal
6 of 10 top traders (60%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $135.63 | $137 | +$1.37 | 93% 23362-1766 (25128) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 70.5Β’ | $55.08 | $52 | -$3.08 | 52% 7510-7071 (14581) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Upavg 35.7Β’ | $23.27 | β | -$23.27 | 54% 15320-13208 (28528) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 93Β’ | $17.1 | $17.28 | +$0.18 | 52% 90207-84703 (174910) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 90Β’ | $20.39 | $22.66 | +$2.27 | 58% 60496-44176 (104672) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 97.2Β’ | $6.05 | $6.22 | +$0.17 | 63% 51837-30554 (82391) |
0D 0x0d2d...7ff5<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $2.69 | $5.49 | +$2.8 | 46% 7894-9296 (17190) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 11Β’ | $0.22 | β | -$0.22 | 56% 58006-44794 (102800) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 66% 112105-58496 (170601) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20047-19201 (39248) |
Invested
$135.63
Value
$137
PnL
+$1.37
Record
93%
23362-1766 (25128)
Invested
$55.08
Value
$52
PnL
-$3.08
Record
52%
7510-7071 (14581)
Invested
$23.27
Value
β
PnL
-$23.27
Record
54%
15320-13208 (28528)
Invested
$17.1
Value
$17.28
PnL
+$0.18
Record
52%
90207-84703 (174910)
Invested
$20.39
Value
$22.66
PnL
+$2.27
Record
58%
60496-44176 (104672)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$6.05
Value
$6.22
PnL
+$0.17
Record
63%
51837-30554 (82391)
Invested
$2.69
Value
$5.49
PnL
+$2.8
Record
46%
7894-9296 (17190)
Invested
$0.22
Value
β
PnL
-$0.22
Record
56%
58006-44794 (102800)
Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112105-58496 (170601)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20047-19201 (39248)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $137
ply-pm2
Down β $52
aswfadq1555
CTRUp β $0
dvasdkasodk
Down β $17.28
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $22.66

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $6.22
0x0d2d...7ff5
Down β $5.49
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp β $0
antsaslyku
CTRUp β $0
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0