Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 67%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.0K

Combined PnL

$78.36

Down

4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Down4 traders

Total Value$330.11

Total Shares330

Combined PnL+$82.73

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares35

Combined PnL-$4.37

Down — 67%Up — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100	Upavg 53¢	$301.43	$531.22	+$229.79	54% 15313-13203 (28516)
└ Down leg	Downavg 20.8¢	$110.6	$531.22	+$420.62
└ Up leg	Upavg 53¢	$190.82	—	-$190.82
PL ply-pm2	Downavg 59.1¢	$170.92	$174.31	+$3.39	51% 7486-7050 (14536)
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100	Upavg 52.8¢	$154.74	$167.08	+$12.34	64% 58239-32920 (91159)
└ Down leg	Downavg 38.6¢	$64.53	$167.08	+$102.55
└ Up leg	Upavg 52.8¢	$90.21	—	-$90.21
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 18.6¢	$26.11	$59.99	+$40.2	64% 22980-12672 (35652)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 93¢	$46.57	$50.08	+$3.51	58% 60485-44163 (104648)
MO mo-money<$100	Downavg 22.1¢	$10.1	$45.73	+$35.64	55% 50404-41004 (91408)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 44.2¢	$7.81	—	-$7.81	52% 90179-84671 (174850)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Upavg 27.7¢	$11.36	—	+$3.44	51% 20036-19191 (39227)