Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Down 75%
$325.29
-$93.42
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $202.95 | $205 | +$2.05 | 93% 23285-1761 (25046) |
0D 0x0d2d...7ff5CTR | Upavg 48.9Β’ | $106.26 | β | -$106.26 | 46% 7787-9202 (16989) |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Downavg 53.6Β’ | $24.55 | $35 | +$10.45 | 54% 15307-13198 (28505) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 81.2Β’ | $34.97 | $33.51 | -$1.45 | 51% 7452-7030 (14482) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 98.5Β’ | $24.4 | $24.77 | +$0.37 | 63% 51801-30522 (82323) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 62Β’ | $23.5 | $20 | +$1.4 | 64% 58208-32895 (91103) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $6.93 | $7 | +$0.07 | 52% 90141-84640 (174781) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.04 | β | -$0.04 | 47% 430-487 (917) |
Invested
$202.95
Value
$205
PnL
+$2.05
Record
93%
23285-1761 (25046)
Invested
$106.26
Value
β
PnL
-$106.26
Record
46%
7787-9202 (16989)
Invested
$24.55
Value
$35
PnL
+$10.45
Record
54%
15307-13198 (28505)
Invested
$34.97
Value
$33.51
PnL
-$1.45
Record
51%
7452-7030 (14482)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$24.4
Value
$24.77
PnL
+$0.37
Record
63%
51801-30522 (82323)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$23.5
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.4
Record
64%
58208-32895 (91103)
Invested
$6.93
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.07
Record
52%
90141-84640 (174781)
Invested
$0.04
Value
β
PnL
-$0.04
Record
47%
430-487 (917)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $205
0x0d2d...7ff5
CTRUp β $0
aswfadq1555
Down β $35
ply-pm2
Down β $33.51

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $24.77

Polkadot-Frog
Down β $20
dvasdkasodk
Down β $7
0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819
CTRUp β $0