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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 67%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.4K

Combined PnL

-$89.22

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders
Total Value$846.98
Total Shares847
Combined PnL-$10.27
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares65
Combined PnL-$78.95
Up — 70%Down — 30%
HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$653.4

Value

$660

PnL

+$6.6

Record

93%

23201-1758 (24959)

AS
aswfadq1555ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$698.3

Value

$532.06

PnL

-$166.24

Record

54%

15292-13183 (28475)

Both legs:

Up$371.7369.9¢+$160.33
Down$326.5670.8¢-$326.56
PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$90.74

Value

$90.13

PnL

-$0.61

Record

51%

7374-6993 (14367)

Polkadot-Frog<$100
Up

Invested

$93.55

Value

$69

PnL

-$24.55

Record

64%

58160-32830 (90990)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$80.96

Value

—

PnL

-$73.01

Record

64%

22780-12562 (35342)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100
Up

Invested

$11.51

Value

$12.84

PnL

+$1.33

Record

63%

51732-30464 (82196)

PB
PBot-6<$100
Up

Invested

$4.6

Value

$10.01

PnL

+$5.41

Record

58%

50945-37076 (88021)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.21

Value

—

PnL

-$4.21

Record

58%

37751-26971 (64722)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$3.45

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.55

Record

64%

39977-22851 (62828)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.74

Value

—

PnL

-$1.74

Record

52%

90065-84555 (174620)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19993-19160 (39153)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xfcff2663...2005a6
Slug
eth-updown-15m-1793327400

Traders in this Market

HO

hoodquant

Up — $660

+$6.6
AS

aswfadq1555

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$166.24
PL

ply-pm2

Up — $90.13

-$0.61

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $69

-$24.55
AA

aaa221

CTR

Down — $0

-$73.01

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $12.84

+$1.33
PB

PBot-6

Up — $10.01

+$5.41
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$4.21

ohioism

Up — $5

+$1.55
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.74
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