Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Resolved Down. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 50%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.6K

Combined PnL

$17.06

Down

2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Down2 traders

Total Value$516.51

Total Shares517

Combined PnL+$21.75

Up3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares16

Combined PnL-$4.69

Down — 40%Up — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100	Upavg 54.9¢	$1.1K	$640.9	-$425.07	54% 15276-13171 (28447)
└ Down leg	Downavg 72¢	$461.58	$640.9	+$179.32
└ Up leg	Upavg 54.9¢	$604.39	—	-$604.39
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98.2¢	$452.49	$460.61	+$8.12	93% 23128-1756 (24884)
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 54.9¢	$296.94	$304.71	+$7.77	51% 7317-6947 (14264)
└ Down leg	Downavg 54.9¢	$167.43	$304.71	+$137.29
└ Up leg	Upavg 44.6¢	$129.51	—	-$129.51
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100	Upavg 37.5¢	$156.28	$181.29	+$29.21	64% 58097-32792 (90889)
└ Down leg	Downavg 39.4¢	$71.37	$181.29	+$112.16
└ Up leg	Upavg 37.5¢	$82.94	—	-$82.94
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 52.2¢	$55.06	$55.9	+$13.63	64% 22669-12483 (35152)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 29¢	$3.77	—	-$3.77	64% 39932-22817 (62749)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 32¢	$0.92	—	-$0.92	58% 60375-44067 (104442)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Upavg 30¢	—	—	+$0	51% 19969-19125 (39094)