Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Down 86%
$455.41
-$45.49
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 90.5¢ | $302.84 | $242.83 | -$60.01 | 54% 15275-13168 (28443) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 93.7¢ | $153.39 | $86.5 | -$0.29 | 64% 57982-32684 (90666) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 82.2¢ | $49.32 | $60 | +$10.68 | 64% 22658-12474 (35132) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 76.3¢ | $30.1 | $30 | -$0.1 | 51% 7310-6941 (14251) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $18.31 | $25.08 | +$6.77 | 64% 39931-22816 (62747) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $11.9 | $11 | -$0.9 | 52% 89994-84473 (174467) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $1.65 | — | -$1.65 | 51% 19968-19120 (39088) |
Invested
$302.84
Value
$242.83
PnL
-$60.01
Record
54%
15275-13168 (28443)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$153.39
Value
$86.5
PnL
-$0.29
Record
64%
57982-32684 (90666)
Invested
$49.32
Value
$60
PnL
+$10.68
Record
64%
22658-12474 (35132)
Invested
$30.1
Value
$30
PnL
-$0.1
Record
51%
7310-6941 (14251)
ohioism<$100Invested
$18.31
Value
$25.08
PnL
+$6.77
Record
64%
39931-22816 (62747)
Invested
$11.9
Value
$11
PnL
-$0.9
Record
52%
89994-84473 (174467)
Invested
$1.65
Value
—
PnL
-$1.65
Record
51%
19968-19120 (39088)
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