Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Down 63%
$357.05
-$19.35
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $159.39 | $161 | +$1.61 | 93% 22987-1751 (24738) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 82.3Β’ | $101.07 | $97.57 | -$3.5 | 51% 7193-6839 (14032) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.7Β’ | $44.44 | β | -$44.44 | 57% 70359-53462 (123821) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 52Β’ | $29.64 | $57 | +$27.36 | 58% 37589-26837 (64426) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 78.2Β’ | $28.4 | $32.54 | +$4.14 | 65% 22438-12338 (34776) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $8.85 | $8.94 | +$0.09 | 58% 60303-44021 (104324) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 20.8Β’ | $4.5 | β | -$4.5 | 55% 17660-14270 (31930) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.5Β’ | $1 | β | -$0.1 | 51% 19925-19088 (39013) |
Invested
$159.39
Value
$161
PnL
+$1.61
Record
93%
22987-1751 (24738)
Invested
$101.07
Value
$97.57
PnL
-$3.5
Record
51%
7193-6839 (14032)
Invested
$44.44
Value
β
PnL
-$44.44
Record
57%
70359-53462 (123821)
Invested
$29.64
Value
$57
PnL
+$27.36
Record
58%
37589-26837 (64426)
Invested
$28.4
Value
$32.54
PnL
+$4.14
Record
65%
22438-12338 (34776)
Invested
$8.85
Value
$8.94
PnL
+$0.09
Record
58%
60303-44021 (104324)
Invested
$4.5
Value
β
PnL
-$4.5
Record
55%
17660-14270 (31930)
Invested
$1
Value
β
PnL
-$0.1
Record
51%
19925-19088 (39013)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $161
ply-pm2
Down β $97.57
uninformedfloww
CTRUp β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $57
aaa221
Down β $32.54
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $8.94
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp β $0
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0