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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Up 40%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$1.1K
Combined PnL
-$291.99
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 5 top traders (40%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$1.0K
Total Shares1,024
Combined PnL+$8.69
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares414
Combined PnL-$300.68
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $1.0K | $1.0K | +$10.16 | 93% 22987-1751 (24738) |
DE devonpollCTR | Downavg 75¢ | $288.8 | — | -$288.8 | 51% 19925-19088 (39013) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 66.3¢ | $55.06 | $53.33 | -$1.72 | 51% 7193-6839 (14032) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 66.3¢ | $35.33 | $53.33 | +$18 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 42.8¢ | $19.72 | — | -$19.72 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $9.36 | $7.89 | -$1.47 | 65% 22438-12338 (34776) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 18.3¢ | $9.08 | — | -$9.08 | 57% 70359-53462 (123821) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $2.8 | — | -$2.8 | 52% 89866-84321 (174187) |
HO
hoodquantInvested
$1,005.7
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$10.16
Record
93%
22987-1751 (24738)
DE
devonpollCTRInvested
$288.8
Value
—
PnL
-$288.8
Record
51%
19925-19088 (39013)
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100Invested
$55.06
Value
$53.33
PnL
-$1.72
Record
51%
7193-6839 (14032)
Both legs:
Up$35.3366.3¢+$18
Down$19.7242.8¢-$19.72
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$9.36
Value
$7.89
PnL
-$1.47
Record
65%
22438-12338 (34776)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$9.08
Value
—
PnL
-$9.08
Record
57%
70359-53462 (123821)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$2.8
Record
52%
89866-84321 (174187)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0de913f4...cc97cc
Slug
eth-updown-15m-1793281500