Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Down 89%
1 arb excluded
$965.42
$29.95
Smart Money Signal
8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $591.66 | $597.64 | +$5.98 | 93% 22987-1751 (24738) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 75.2¢ | $103.12 | $117.52 | +$14.4 | 57% 70359-53462 (123821) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 54.6¢ | $50.39 | $53.08 | +$2.69 | 51% 7193-6839 (14032) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 54.6¢ | $28.99 | $53.08 | +$24.09 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 51.1¢ | $21.4 | — | -$21.4 | |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 94.1¢ | $87.68 | $93.2 | +$5.51 | 63% 51591-30353 (81944) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 22¢ | $16.12 | — | -$16.12 | 56% 57788-44629 (102417) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 83.4¢ | $37.35 | $44.5 | +$7.15 | 55% 48224-39763 (87987) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $22.01 | $16.98 | -$5.03 | 65% 22438-12338 (34776) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $14.7 | $30 | +$15.3 | 58% 60303-44021 (104324) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $6.45 | $7.5 | +$1.05 | 55% 50262-40840 (91102) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $3.3 | $5 | +$1.7 | 52% 89866-84321 (174187) |
Invested
$591.66
Value
$597.64
PnL
+$5.98
Record
93%
22987-1751 (24738)
Invested
$103.12
Value
$117.52
PnL
+$14.4
Record
57%
70359-53462 (123821)
Invested
$50.39
Value
$53.08
PnL
+$2.69
Record
51%
7193-6839 (14032)
Both legs:
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$87.68
Value
$93.2
PnL
+$5.51
Record
63%
51591-30353 (81944)
Invested
$16.12
Value
—
PnL
-$16.12
Record
56%
57788-44629 (102417)
Invested
$37.35
Value
$44.5
PnL
+$7.15
Record
55%
48224-39763 (87987)
Invested
$22.01
Value
$16.98
PnL
-$5.03
Record
65%
22438-12338 (34776)
Invested
$14.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$15.3
Record
58%
60303-44021 (104324)
Invested
$6.45
Value
$7.5
PnL
+$1.05
Record
55%
50262-40840 (91102)
Invested
$3.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.7
Record
52%
89866-84321 (174187)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $597.64
uninformedfloww
Down — $117.52
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $93.2
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0
almach
Down — $44.5
aaa221
Down — $16.98
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $30
mo-money
Down — $7.5
dvasdkasodk
Down — $5