PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Up β€” but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Up 67%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$416.31

Combined PnL

-$128.23

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares283
Combined PnL-$165.57
Down3 traders
Total Value$85.59
Total Shares86
Combined PnL+$37.34
Up β€” 70%Down β€” 30%