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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 63%

Total Value

$39.46

Combined PnL

-$119.31

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares864

Combined PnL-$123.63

Down3 traders

Total Value$39.46

Total Shares39

Combined PnL+$4.32

Up — 67%Down — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100	Upavg 12.9¢	$99.08	—	-$99.08	54% 14435-12266 (26701)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 74¢	$18.24	$20	+$1.76	51% 7184-6826 (14010)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Upavg 27.9¢	$5.95	—	-$5.95	55% 17660-14270 (31930)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 57¢	$8.55	—	-$8.55	58% 37571-26826 (64397)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Downavg 91¢	$13.1	$14.4	+$1.3	63% 51566-30344 (81910)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 20¢	$1.42	—	-$1.42	57% 70341-53444 (123785)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 75¢	$3.8	$5.07	+$1.27	52% 89831-84292 (174123)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 16¢	$8.63	—	-$8.63	65% 22398-12314 (34712)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	51% 19919-19076 (38995)

tmsd-testCTR<$100

Invested

$99.08

Value

—

PnL

-$99.08

Record

54%

14435-12266 (26701)

Invested

$18.24

Value

$20

PnL

+$1.76

Record

51%

7184-6826 (14010)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Invested

$5.95

Value

—

PnL

-$5.95

Record

55%

17660-14270 (31930)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$8.55

Value

—

PnL

-$8.55

Record

58%

37571-26826 (64397)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Invested

$13.1

Value

$14.4

PnL

+$1.3

Record

63%

51566-30344 (81910)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$1.42

Value

—

PnL

-$1.42

Record

57%

70341-53444 (123785)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$3.8

Value

$5.07

PnL

+$1.27

Record

52%

89831-84292 (174123)

Invested

$8.63

Value

—

PnL

-$8.63

Record

65%

22398-12314 (34712)

devonpollCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19919-19076 (38995)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x39ad086c...f12764

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1793275200

Traders in this Market

tmsd-test

Up — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $20

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $0

UpandDownSyndrome

Down — $14.4

uninformedfloww

Up — $0

dvasdkasodk

Down — $5.07

aaa221

Up — $0

devonpoll

Up — $0

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