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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Down 50%

Total Value

$53.98

Combined PnL

-$53.11

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares97

Combined PnL-$52.43

Up4 traders

Total Value$53.98

Total Shares54

Combined PnL-$0.69

Down — 50%Up — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 56¢	$39.74	—	-$39.74	64% 39870-22776 (62646)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 74.3¢	$34.68	$35	+$0.32	51% 7170-6800 (13970)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 12¢	$3.01	—	-$3.01	56% 57762-44611 (102373)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Upavg 99¢	$12.35	$12.47	+$0.12	63% 51542-30333 (81875)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 54¢	$8.64	—	-$8.64	58% 37558-26812 (64370)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 99¢	$6.15	$5	-$1.15	52% 89796-84260 (174056)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 17¢	$1.03	—	-$1.03	65% 22359-12289 (34648)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$1.49	$1.51	+$0.02	93% 22942-1749 (24691)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$39.74

Value

—

PnL

-$39.74

Record

64%

39870-22776 (62646)

Invested

$34.68

Value

$35

PnL

+$0.32

Record

51%

7170-6800 (13970)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$3.01

Value

—

PnL

-$3.01

Record

56%

57762-44611 (102373)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Invested

$12.35

Value

$12.47

PnL

+$0.12

Record

63%

51542-30333 (81875)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$8.64

Value

—

PnL

-$8.64

Record

58%

37558-26812 (64370)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$6.15

Value

$5

PnL

-$1.15

Record

52%

89796-84260 (174056)

Invested

$1.03

Value

—

PnL

-$1.03

Record

65%

22359-12289 (34648)

Invested

$1.49

Value

$1.51

PnL

+$0.02

Record

93%

22942-1749 (24691)

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xccad64c9...bbdec1

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1793273400

Traders in this Market

ohioism

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Up — $35

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $12.47

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $0

dvasdkasodk

Up — $5

aaa221

Down — $0

hoodquant

Up — $1.51

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