Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
14
Down 71%
$430.93
$12.55
Smart Money Signal
10 of 14 top traders (71%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $89.03 | $89.93 | +$0.9 | 93% 22942-1749 (24691) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 90.9Β’ | $48.93 | $53.84 | +$4.91 | 57% 70317-53442 (123759) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 77.4Β’ | $41.2 | $35 | -$6.2 | 51% 7170-6800 (13970) |
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100 | Upavg 26.9Β’ | $20.44 | β | -$20.44 | 54% 14429-12264 (26693) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 71.3Β’ | $43.01 | $60.29 | +$17.28 | 58% 60278-44004 (104282) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 77Β’ | $39.2 | $50.91 | +$11.71 | 64% 39870-22776 (62646) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 77Β’ | $38.64 | $50.18 | +$11.54 | 56% 57762-44611 (102373) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 86.8Β’ | $36.48 | $35.57 | -$0.43 | 65% 22359-12289 (34648) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 49Β’ | $15.44 | β | -$15.44 | 58% 37558-26812 (64370) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 51Β’ | $10.97 | $21.51 | +$10.54 | 62% 43662-26649 (70311) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 90.2Β’ | $16.15 | $17.9 | +$1.75 | 52% 89796-84260 (174056) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 92Β’ | $14.54 | $15.8 | +$1.26 | 63% 51542-30333 (81875) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 48Β’ | $4.8 | β | -$4.8 | 58% 50880-37022 (87902) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.02 | β | -$0.02 | 47% 412-471 (883) |
Invested
$89.03
Value
$89.93
PnL
+$0.9
Record
93%
22942-1749 (24691)
Invested
$48.93
Value
$53.84
PnL
+$4.91
Record
57%
70317-53442 (123759)
Invested
$41.2
Value
$35
PnL
-$6.2
Record
51%
7170-6800 (13970)
Invested
$20.44
Value
β
PnL
-$20.44
Record
54%
14429-12264 (26693)
Invested
$43.01
Value
$60.29
PnL
+$17.28
Record
58%
60278-44004 (104282)
ohioism<$100Invested
$39.2
Value
$50.91
PnL
+$11.71
Record
64%
39870-22776 (62646)
Invested
$38.64
Value
$50.18
PnL
+$11.54
Record
56%
57762-44611 (102373)
Invested
$36.48
Value
$35.57
PnL
-$0.43
Record
65%
22359-12289 (34648)
Invested
$15.44
Value
β
PnL
-$15.44
Record
58%
37558-26812 (64370)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$10.97
Value
$21.51
PnL
+$10.54
Record
62%
43662-26649 (70311)
Invested
$16.15
Value
$17.9
PnL
+$1.75
Record
52%
89796-84260 (174056)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$14.54
Value
$15.8
PnL
+$1.26
Record
63%
51542-30333 (81875)
Invested
$4.8
Value
β
PnL
-$4.8
Record
58%
50880-37022 (87902)
Invested
$0.02
Value
β
PnL
-$0.02
Record
47%
412-471 (883)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $89.93
uninformedfloww
Down β $53.84
ply-pm2
Down β $35
tmsd-test
CTRUp β $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $60.29

ohioism
Down β $50.91
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down β $50.18
aaa221
Down β $35.57
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0

G-Penis-Monster
Down β $21.51