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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Down 70%

Total Value

$101.91

Combined PnL

-$205.93

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 11 top traders (64%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares337
Combined PnL-$199.91
Up4 traders
Total Value$101.91
Total Shares102
Combined PnL-$6.02
Down — 64%Up — 36%
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$65.66

Value

—

PnL

-$65.66

Record

51%

7133-6748 (13881)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$45.31

Value

$47.69

PnL

+$2.38

Record

64%

39836-22759 (62595)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$38.79

Value

—

PnL

-$38.79

Record

58%

37531-26786 (64317)

AS
aswfadq1555CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$46.42

Value

—

PnL

-$46.42

Record

54%

15232-13128 (28360)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$35.75

Value

—

PnL

-$35.75

Record

68%

99024-47353 (146377)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100
Up

Invested

$38.25

Value

$30.37

PnL

-$7.88

Record

55%

17594-14210 (31804)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$24.37

Value

$23.85

PnL

-$0.52

Record

65%

22283-12231 (34514)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.25

Value

—

PnL

-$5.25

Record

52%

89734-84193 (173927)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3

Value

—

PnL

-$3

Record

62%

43652-26628 (70280)

BO
bosonaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.04

Value

—

PnL

-$5.04

Record

55%

49400-39611 (89011)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19890-19043 (38933)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xc0feef13...c0e77b
Slug
eth-updown-15m-1793259900

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$65.66

ohioism

Up — $47.69

+$2.38
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$38.79
AS

aswfadq1555

CTR

Down — $0

-$46.42
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Down — $0

-$35.75
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $30.37

-$7.88
AA

aaa221

Up — $23.85

-$0.52
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Down — $0

-$5.25

G-Penis-Monster

CTR

Down — $0

-$3
BO

bosona

CTR

Down — $0

-$5.04
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