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DownUpDownDownDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$92.74
Combined PnL
$11.29
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$92.74
Total Shares93
Combined PnL+$13.89
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares21
Combined PnL-$2.6
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 72.2¢ | $65.19 | $60.58 | -$4.62 | 51% 7062-6703 (13765) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.5¢ | $2.6 | — | -$2.6 | 51% 19871-19020 (38891) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $9.52 | $19.03 | +$9.52 | 58% 50847-36987 (87834) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 30.6¢ | $2.49 | $8.13 | +$5.64 | 65% 22160-12167 (34327) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $1.65 | $5 | +$3.35 | 55% 17500-14140 (31640) |
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$65.19
Value
$60.58
PnL
-$4.62
Record
51%
7062-6703 (13765)
DE
devonpollCTR<$100Invested
$2.6
Value
—
PnL
-$2.6
Record
51%
19871-19020 (38891)
PB
PBot-6<$100Invested
$9.52
Value
$19.03
PnL
+$9.52
Record
58%
50847-36987 (87834)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$2.49
Value
$8.13
PnL
+$5.64
Record
65%
22160-12167 (34327)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100Invested
$1.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.35
Record
55%
17500-14140 (31640)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x06e62334...299648
Slug
eth-updown-15m-1793252700