Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Down 67%
1 arb excluded
$1.0K
$186.21
Smart Money Signal
8 of 13 top traders (62%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.6¢ | $429.71 | $435.64 | +$5.93 | 93% 22775-1740 (24515) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 38.8¢ | $139.4 | $269.22 | +$129.82 | 54% 15215-13117 (28332) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 54.2¢ | $86.24 | $99.78 | +$13.53 | 51% 6965-6645 (13610) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 41.9¢ | $41.78 | $99.78 | +$58 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 54.2¢ | $44.46 | — | -$44.46 | |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 69.6¢ | $65.6 | $45.5 | +$1.83 | 64% 57769-32502 (90271) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $34.17 | $74.29 | +$40.12 | 58% 37465-26708 (64173) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 87.5¢ | $23.23 | $26.54 | +$3.31 | 63% 51357-30230 (81587) |
AA aaa221 | Downavg 52.7¢ | $124.7 | $20.01 | +$14.82 | 65% 21975-12079 (34054) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 46.3¢ | $13.05 | $26.27 | +$13.22 | 55% 17439-14069 (31508) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $15.6 | — | -$15.6 | 58% 60194-43949 (104143) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 48.8¢ | $8.99 | — | -$8.99 | 64% 39777-22734 (62511) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $1.65 | — | -$1.65 | 47% 400-459 (859) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $2.15 | $5.66 | +$3.51 | 52% 89581-84030 (173611) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 66% 111604-57865 (169469) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19858-18996 (38854) |
Invested
$429.71
Value
$435.64
PnL
+$5.93
Record
93%
22775-1740 (24515)
Invested
$139.4
Value
$269.22
PnL
+$129.82
Record
54%
15215-13117 (28332)
Invested
$86.24
Value
$99.78
PnL
+$13.53
Record
51%
6965-6645 (13610)
Both legs:
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$65.6
Value
$45.5
PnL
+$1.83
Record
64%
57769-32502 (90271)
Invested
$34.17
Value
$74.29
PnL
+$40.12
Record
58%
37465-26708 (64173)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$23.23
Value
$26.54
PnL
+$3.31
Record
63%
51357-30230 (81587)
Invested
$124.7
Value
$20.01
PnL
+$14.82
Record
65%
21975-12079 (34054)
Invested
$13.05
Value
$26.27
PnL
+$13.22
Record
55%
17439-14069 (31508)
Invested
$15.6
Value
—
PnL
-$15.6
Record
58%
60194-43949 (104143)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$8.99
Value
—
PnL
-$8.99
Record
64%
39777-22734 (62511)
Invested
$1.65
Value
—
PnL
-$1.65
Record
47%
400-459 (859)
Invested
$2.15
Value
$5.66
PnL
+$3.51
Record
52%
89581-84030 (173611)
Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
66%
111604-57865 (169469)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19858-18996 (38854)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $435.64
aswfadq1555
Down — $269.22
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $45.5
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $74.29
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $26.54
aaa221
Down — $20.01
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $26.27
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp — $0
ohioism
CTRUp — $0