Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Down 54%
1 arb excluded
$425.5
$9.43
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $133.68 | $135.03 | +$1.35 | 93% 22775-1740 (24515) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 59.6¢ | $84.79 | $87.99 | +$3.21 | 51% 6965-6645 (13610) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 35.2¢ | $32.38 | — | -$32.38 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 59.6¢ | $52.41 | $87.99 | +$35.59 | |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Downavg 73.8¢ | $49.02 | $39.18 | -$9.84 | 54% 15215-13117 (28332) |
TM tmsd-test<$100 | Downavg 33.5¢ | $32.49 | $97 | +$64.51 | 54% 14395-12216 (26611) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 30.6¢ | $17.65 | — | -$17.65 | 55% 17439-14069 (31508) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 45.6¢ | $45.78 | — | -$20.94 | 65% 21975-12079 (34054) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 25¢ | $12.57 | — | -$12.57 | 58% 60194-43949 (104143) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.9¢ | $16 | — | -$13.08 | 51% 19858-18996 (38854) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $25.74 | $38.99 | +$13.26 | 58% 37465-26708 (64173) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $2.7 | — | -$2.7 | 55% 49293-39546 (88839) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 67.5¢ | $11.75 | $12.29 | +$0.54 | 52% 89581-84030 (173611) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $4.9 | $10.01 | +$5.1 | 58% 50830-36973 (87803) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $3.35 | $5 | +$1.65 | 64% 39777-22734 (62511) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.19 | — | -$0.19 | 47% 400-459 (859) |
Invested
$133.68
Value
$135.03
PnL
+$1.35
Record
93%
22775-1740 (24515)
Invested
$84.79
Value
$87.99
PnL
+$3.21
Record
51%
6965-6645 (13610)
Both legs:
Invested
$49.02
Value
$39.18
PnL
-$9.84
Record
54%
15215-13117 (28332)
Invested
$32.49
Value
$97
PnL
+$64.51
Record
54%
14395-12216 (26611)
Invested
$17.65
Value
—
PnL
-$17.65
Record
55%
17439-14069 (31508)
Invested
$45.78
Value
—
PnL
-$20.94
Record
65%
21975-12079 (34054)
Invested
$12.57
Value
—
PnL
-$12.57
Record
58%
60194-43949 (104143)
Invested
$16
Value
—
PnL
-$13.08
Record
51%
19858-18996 (38854)
Invested
$25.74
Value
$38.99
PnL
+$13.26
Record
58%
37465-26708 (64173)
Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
-$2.7
Record
55%
49293-39546 (88839)
Invested
$11.75
Value
$12.29
PnL
+$0.54
Record
52%
89581-84030 (173611)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$10.01
PnL
+$5.1
Record
58%
50830-36973 (87803)
ohioism<$100Invested
$3.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.65
Record
64%
39777-22734 (62511)
Invested
$0.19
Value
—
PnL
-$0.19
Record
47%
400-459 (859)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $135.03
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
aswfadq1555
Down — $39.18
tmsd-test
Down — $97
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp — $0
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $38.99
bosona
CTRUp — $0