Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 45%
$429.43
-$138.9
Smart Money Signal
5 of 12 top traders (42%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TM tmsd-test | Downavg 56¢ | $279.26 | $214.11 | +$31.27 | 54% 14387-12207 (26594) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 58.9¢ | $183.67 | $171.27 | -$12.4 | 51% 6935-6621 (13556) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 42.2¢ | $45.89 | — | -$45.89 | 64% 57632-32371 (90003) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Upavg 47.9¢ | $89 | — | -$89 | 54% 15206-13113 (28319) |
YO YouSayUpISayDownCTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $13.16 | — | -$13.16 | 53% 3685-3204 (6889) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $12.75 | $12.88 | +$0.13 | 93% 22744-1740 (24484) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $9.06 | $25.17 | +$16.11 | 74% 102194-36335 (138529) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $3 | $6 | +$3 | 58% 50824-36967 (87791) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 45.7¢ | $9.7 | — | -$9.7 | 55% 17411-14044 (31455) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 29.9¢ | $64.16 | — | -$17.21 | 65% 21925-12064 (33989) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 34¢ | $2.04 | — | -$2.04 | 52% 89542-84009 (173551) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19852-18984 (38836) |
Invested
$279.26
Value
$214.11
PnL
+$31.27
Record
54%
14387-12207 (26594)
Invested
$183.67
Value
$171.27
PnL
-$12.4
Record
51%
6935-6621 (13556)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$45.89
Value
—
PnL
-$45.89
Record
64%
57632-32371 (90003)
Invested
$89
Value
—
PnL
-$89
Record
54%
15206-13113 (28319)
Invested
$13.16
Value
—
PnL
-$13.16
Record
53%
3685-3204 (6889)
Invested
$12.75
Value
$12.88
PnL
+$0.13
Record
93%
22744-1740 (24484)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$9.06
Value
$25.17
PnL
+$16.11
Record
74%
102194-36335 (138529)
Invested
$3
Value
$6
PnL
+$3
Record
58%
50824-36967 (87791)
Invested
$9.7
Value
—
PnL
-$9.7
Record
55%
17411-14044 (31455)
Invested
$64.16
Value
—
PnL
-$17.21
Record
65%
21925-12064 (33989)
Invested
$2.04
Value
—
PnL
-$2.04
Record
52%
89542-84009 (173551)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19852-18984 (38836)
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