Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Up 80%
3 arb excluded
$1.0K
$10.55
Smart Money Signal
9 of 11 top traders (82%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.8¢ | $310.09 | $313.93 | +$3.84 | 93% 22666-1735 (24401) |
TM tmsd-testARB<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $274.98 | $235.08 | -$39.9 | 54% 14363-12179 (26542) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 66¢ | $155.12 | $235.08 | +$79.96 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 31.3¢ | $119.86 | — | -$119.86 | |
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100 | Downavg 48.6¢ | $135.64 | $83.13 | -$52.51 | 54% 15195-13099 (28294) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 66.6¢ | $55.39 | $83.13 | +$27.74 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 48.6¢ | $80.25 | — | -$80.25 | |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 99¢ | $109.89 | $111 | +$1.11 | 58% 37406-26644 (64050) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 56.1¢ | $67.74 | $62.35 | -$5.39 | 51% 6891-6570 (13461) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 45.5¢ | $32.78 | — | -$32.78 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 56.1¢ | $34.96 | $62.35 | +$27.39 | |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 82.3¢ | $49.72 | $60.39 | +$10.67 | 58% 60145-43906 (104051) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $39.64 | $50.18 | +$10.54 | 64% 39741-22699 (62440) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $45.65 | $47.91 | +$2.26 | 55% 17349-13981 (31330) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 59.8¢ | $59.42 | $32.51 | -$12.8 | 65% 21845-12018 (33863) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 70.2¢ | $28.37 | $22 | -$2.37 | 64% 57631-32367 (89998) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $3.16 | — | -$3.16 | 52% 89477-83931 (173408) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $13.13 | $14.59 | +$1.46 | 63% 51314-30185 (81499) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 58% 50806-36950 (87756) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19816-18956 (38772) |
Invested
$310.09
Value
$313.93
PnL
+$3.84
Record
93%
22666-1735 (24401)
Invested
$274.98
Value
$235.08
PnL
-$39.9
Record
54%
14363-12179 (26542)
Both legs:
Invested
$135.64
Value
$83.13
PnL
-$52.51
Record
54%
15195-13099 (28294)
Both legs:
Invested
$109.89
Value
$111
PnL
+$1.11
Record
58%
37406-26644 (64050)
Invested
$67.74
Value
$62.35
PnL
-$5.39
Record
51%
6891-6570 (13461)
Both legs:
Invested
$49.72
Value
$60.39
PnL
+$10.67
Record
58%
60145-43906 (104051)
ohioism<$100Invested
$39.64
Value
$50.18
PnL
+$10.54
Record
64%
39741-22699 (62440)
Invested
$45.65
Value
$47.91
PnL
+$2.26
Record
55%
17349-13981 (31330)
Invested
$59.42
Value
$32.51
PnL
-$12.8
Record
65%
21845-12018 (33863)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$28.37
Value
$22
PnL
-$2.37
Record
64%
57631-32367 (89998)
Invested
$3.16
Value
—
PnL
-$3.16
Record
52%
89477-83931 (173408)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$13.13
Value
$14.59
PnL
+$1.46
Record
63%
51314-30185 (81499)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
58%
50806-36950 (87756)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19816-18956 (38772)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $313.93
tmsd-test
ARBArbitrage — excluded
aswfadq1555
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $111
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $60.39
ohioism
Up — $50.18
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $47.91
aaa221
Up — $32.51
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $22