Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
15
Up 67%
$1.3K
$-1.2K
Smart Money Signal
10 of 15 top traders (67%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.8¢ | $743.01 | $752 | +$8.99 | 93% 22666-1735 (24401) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR | Upavg 84.7¢ | $717.34 | — | -$717.34 | 54% 15195-13099 (28294) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR | Upavg 90.5¢ | $342.7 | — | -$342.7 | 63% 51314-30185 (81499) |
TM tmsd-test | Downavg 24.2¢ | $96.01 | $307.03 | +$211.02 | 54% 14363-12179 (26542) |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Upavg 81.1¢ | $215.58 | — | -$200.19 | 51% 6891-6570 (13461) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 98.4¢ | $156.32 | $158.89 | +$2.57 | 58% 37406-26644 (64050) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $36.37 | — | -$36.37 | 74% 102170-36318 (138488) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 76.9¢ | $60.06 | — | -$42.07 | 65% 21845-12018 (33863) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 53.9¢ | $35.57 | $33.28 | -$2.29 | 62% 43601-26547 (70148) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 34.3¢ | $19.55 | $29.17 | +$9.61 | 52% 89477-83931 (173408) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 88.7¢ | $17.8 | — | -$17.8 | 51% 19816-18956 (38772) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $16.55 | — | -$16.55 | 64% 39741-22699 (62440) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 58.9¢ | $69.94 | — | -$69.94 | 58% 60145-43906 (104051) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $1.27 | — | -$1.27 | 56% 57617-44504 (102121) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.01 | — | -$0.01 | 47% 397-454 (851) |
Invested
$743.01
Value
$752
PnL
+$8.99
Record
93%
22666-1735 (24401)
Invested
$717.34
Value
—
PnL
-$717.34
Record
54%
15195-13099 (28294)
UpandDownSyndromeCTRInvested
$342.7
Value
—
PnL
-$342.7
Record
63%
51314-30185 (81499)
Invested
$96.01
Value
$307.03
PnL
+$211.02
Record
54%
14363-12179 (26542)
Invested
$215.58
Value
—
PnL
-$200.19
Record
51%
6891-6570 (13461)
Invested
$156.32
Value
$158.89
PnL
+$2.57
Record
58%
37406-26644 (64050)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$36.37
Value
—
PnL
-$36.37
Record
74%
102170-36318 (138488)
Invested
$60.06
Value
—
PnL
-$42.07
Record
65%
21845-12018 (33863)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$35.57
Value
$33.28
PnL
-$2.29
Record
62%
43601-26547 (70148)
Invested
$19.55
Value
$29.17
PnL
+$9.61
Record
52%
89477-83931 (173408)
Invested
$17.8
Value
—
PnL
-$17.8
Record
51%
19816-18956 (38772)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$16.55
Value
—
PnL
-$16.55
Record
64%
39741-22699 (62440)
Invested
$69.94
Value
—
PnL
-$69.94
Record
58%
60145-43906 (104051)
Invested
$1.27
Value
—
PnL
-$1.27
Record
56%
57617-44504 (102121)
Invested
$0.01
Value
—
PnL
-$0.01
Record
47%
397-454 (851)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $752
aswfadq1555
CTRUp — $0
UpandDownSyndrome
CTRUp — $0
tmsd-test
Down — $307.03
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $158.89
BoneOhio
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $33.28
dvasdkasodk
Down — $29.17