Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Up 88%
1 arb excluded
$319.55
-$38.03
Smart Money Signal
7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $141.56 | $142.99 | +$1.43 | 93% 22666-1735 (24401) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Downavg 32.5¢ | $65.68 | — | -$65.68 | 54% 15195-13099 (28294) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 60.4¢ | $88.26 | $94.25 | +$5.99 | 51% 6891-6570 (13461) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 60.4¢ | $56.92 | $94.25 | +$37.33 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 34.4¢ | $31.34 | — | -$31.34 | |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $13.12 | $13.96 | +$0.84 | 63% 51314-30185 (81499) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 56.2¢ | $14.73 | $19.62 | +$4.89 | 65% 21845-12018 (33863) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $10.2 | $20.4 | +$10.2 | 51% 19816-18956 (38772) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $7.32 | $12 | +$4.68 | 74% 102170-36318 (138488) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $5.25 | $5.09 | -$0.16 | 52% 89477-83931 (173408) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 48.7¢ | $5.47 | $11.24 | +$5.77 | 58% 37406-26644 (64050) |
Invested
$141.56
Value
$142.99
PnL
+$1.43
Record
93%
22666-1735 (24401)
Invested
$65.68
Value
—
PnL
-$65.68
Record
54%
15195-13099 (28294)
Invested
$88.26
Value
$94.25
PnL
+$5.99
Record
51%
6891-6570 (13461)
Both legs:
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$13.12
Value
$13.96
PnL
+$0.84
Record
63%
51314-30185 (81499)
Invested
$14.73
Value
$19.62
PnL
+$4.89
Record
65%
21845-12018 (33863)
Invested
$10.2
Value
$20.4
PnL
+$10.2
Record
51%
19816-18956 (38772)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$7.32
Value
$12
PnL
+$4.68
Record
74%
102170-36318 (138488)
Invested
$5.25
Value
$5.09
PnL
-$0.16
Record
52%
89477-83931 (173408)
Invested
$5.47
Value
$11.24
PnL
+$5.77
Record
58%
37406-26644 (64050)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $142.99
aswfadq1555
CTRDown — $0
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
UpandDownSyndrome
Up — $13.96
aaa221
Up — $19.62
devonpoll
Up — $20.4
BoneOhio
Up — $12
dvasdkasodk
Up — $5.09
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $11.24