Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Down 67%
1 arb excluded
$589.55
$8.62
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.9¢ | $225.81 | $228.43 | +$2.62 | 93% 22640-1735 (24375) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 67.3¢ | $140.64 | $154.76 | +$14.12 | 54% 15186-13093 (28279) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.8¢ | $121.95 | $119.64 | -$2.31 | 51% 6853-6542 (13395) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 48.6¢ | $58.15 | $119.64 | +$61.49 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.8¢ | $63.8 | — | -$63.8 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 77.6¢ | $81.15 | $59.99 | -$3.98 | 65% 21769-11955 (33724) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 69.3¢ | $18.15 | $15.14 | -$3.01 | 55% 17309-13927 (31236) |
TM tmsd-test<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $5.78 | $6.48 | +$0.7 | 54% 14359-12176 (26535) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 23.4¢ | $14.22 | — | +$0.53 | 51% 19801-18940 (38741) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $1.75 | — | -$1.75 | 52% 89438-83891 (173329) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $3.55 | $5 | +$1.45 | 64% 39732-22693 (62425) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $2.11 | — | -$2.11 | 58% 37384-26627 (64011) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $0.05 | $0.1 | +$0.05 | 58% 50801-36942 (87743) |
Invested
$225.81
Value
$228.43
PnL
+$2.62
Record
93%
22640-1735 (24375)
Invested
$140.64
Value
$154.76
PnL
+$14.12
Record
54%
15186-13093 (28279)
Invested
$121.95
Value
$119.64
PnL
-$2.31
Record
51%
6853-6542 (13395)
Both legs:
Invested
$81.15
Value
$59.99
PnL
-$3.98
Record
65%
21769-11955 (33724)
Invested
$18.15
Value
$15.14
PnL
-$3.01
Record
55%
17309-13927 (31236)
Invested
$5.78
Value
$6.48
PnL
+$0.7
Record
54%
14359-12176 (26535)
Invested
$14.22
Value
—
PnL
+$0.53
Record
51%
19801-18940 (38741)
Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.75
Record
52%
89438-83891 (173329)
ohioism<$100Invested
$3.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.45
Record
64%
39732-22693 (62425)
Invested
$2.11
Value
—
PnL
-$2.11
Record
58%
37384-26627 (64011)
Invested
$0.05
Value
$0.1
PnL
+$0.05
Record
58%
50801-36942 (87743)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $228.43
aswfadq1555
Down — $154.76
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
aaa221
Down — $59.99
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $15.14
tmsd-test
Down — $6.48
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0
dvasdkasodk
CTRUp — $0
ohioism
Down — $5
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0