Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Up 78%
2 arb excluded
$470.02
-$43.48
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100 | Downavg 28.9¢ | $219.03 | $117 | -$102.03 | 54% 15181-13088 (28269) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 64.9¢ | $75.91 | $117 | +$41.09 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 28.9¢ | $143.12 | — | -$143.12 | |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Downavg 11.6¢ | $92.95 | $105 | +$12.05 | 57% 69881-53093 (122974) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 39.5¢ | $41.45 | $105 | +$63.55 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 11.6¢ | $51.5 | — | -$51.5 | |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 73.5¢ | $109.76 | $112.33 | +$2.57 | 51% 6829-6526 (13355) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $68.5 | — | -$68.5 | 58% 50799-36936 (87735) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 84.7¢ | $46.73 | $55.16 | +$8.43 | 62% 43587-26530 (70117) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 79.2¢ | $17.03 | $21.52 | +$4.49 | 64% 39724-22691 (62415) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 61.3¢ | $13.6 | $15.41 | +$1.81 | 55% 17284-13893 (31177) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 70.3¢ | $51.58 | $12.48 | +$7.11 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $8.2 | $20 | +$11.8 | 51% 19791-18936 (38727) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 88.8¢ | $12.1 | $11.12 | -$0.98 | 52% 89418-83862 (173280) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $10.2 | — | -$10.2 | 56% 57594-44483 (102077) |
Invested
$219.03
Value
$117
PnL
-$102.03
Record
54%
15181-13088 (28269)
Both legs:
Invested
$92.95
Value
$105
PnL
+$12.05
Record
57%
69881-53093 (122974)
Both legs:
Invested
$109.76
Value
$112.33
PnL
+$2.57
Record
51%
6829-6526 (13355)
Invested
$68.5
Value
—
PnL
-$68.5
Record
58%
50799-36936 (87735)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$46.73
Value
$55.16
PnL
+$8.43
Record
62%
43587-26530 (70117)
ohioism<$100Invested
$17.03
Value
$21.52
PnL
+$4.49
Record
64%
39724-22691 (62415)
Invested
$13.6
Value
$15.41
PnL
+$1.81
Record
55%
17284-13893 (31177)
Invested
$51.58
Value
$12.48
PnL
+$7.11
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
Invested
$8.2
Value
$20
PnL
+$11.8
Record
51%
19791-18936 (38727)
Invested
$12.1
Value
$11.12
PnL
-$0.98
Record
52%
89418-83862 (173280)
Invested
$10.2
Value
—
PnL
-$10.2
Record
56%
57594-44483 (102077)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
aswfadq1555
ARBArbitrage — excluded
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
Up — $112.33
PBot-6
CTRDown — $0
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $55.16
ohioism
Up — $21.52
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $15.41
aaa221
Up — $12.48
devonpoll
Up — $20
dvasdkasodk
Up — $11.12