Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 50%
$290.09
-$28.95
Smart Money Signal
5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 68.4Β’ | $126.16 | $127.87 | +$1.71 | 51% 6829-6526 (13355) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 92.5Β’ | $42.6 | $40 | -$2.6 | 57% 69881-53093 (122974) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 71Β’ | $35.56 | $50.08 | +$14.52 | 64% 39724-22691 (62415) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $29 | $58 | +$29 | 58% 37375-26622 (63997) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Upavg 26.3Β’ | $33.31 | β | -$33.31 | 54% 15181-13088 (28269) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 34Β’ | $15.09 | β | -$15.09 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 98Β’ | $13.86 | $14.14 | +$0.28 | 63% 51234-30144 (81378) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 42.1Β’ | $20.01 | β | -$20.01 | 56% 57594-44483 (102077) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 30Β’ | $3 | β | -$3 | 51% 19791-18936 (38727) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 9Β’ | $0.45 | β | -$0.45 | 55% 17284-13893 (31177) |
Invested
$126.16
Value
$127.87
PnL
+$1.71
Record
51%
6829-6526 (13355)
Invested
$42.6
Value
$40
PnL
-$2.6
Record
57%
69881-53093 (122974)
ohioism<$100Invested
$35.56
Value
$50.08
PnL
+$14.52
Record
64%
39724-22691 (62415)
Invested
$29
Value
$58
PnL
+$29
Record
58%
37375-26622 (63997)
Invested
$33.31
Value
β
PnL
-$33.31
Record
54%
15181-13088 (28269)
Invested
$15.09
Value
β
PnL
-$15.09
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$13.86
Value
$14.14
PnL
+$0.28
Record
63%
51234-30144 (81378)
Invested
$20.01
Value
β
PnL
-$20.01
Record
56%
57594-44483 (102077)
Invested
$3
Value
β
PnL
-$3
Record
51%
19791-18936 (38727)
Invested
$0.45
Value
β
PnL
-$0.45
Record
55%
17284-13893 (31177)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $127.87
uninformedfloww
Down β $40

ohioism
Down β $50.08
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $58
aswfadq1555
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
CTRUp β $0

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $14.14
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp β $0
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp β $0