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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 27% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Down 30%

Total Value

$251.83

Combined PnL

-$512.62

Smart Money Signal

Down

3 of 11 top traders (27%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares766
Combined PnL-$530.78
Up8 traders
Total Value$251.83
Total Shares252
Combined PnL+$18.16
Down — 27%Up — 73%
UN
uninformedflowwCTR
Down

Invested

$228.96

Value

—

PnL

-$228.96

Record

57%

69881-53093 (122974)

AS
aswfadq1555CTR
Down

Invested

$144.91

Value

—

PnL

-$144.91

Record

54%

15181-13088 (28269)

PL
ply-pm2CTR
Down

Invested

$156.92

Value

—

PnL

-$156.92

Record

51%

6829-6526 (13355)

HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$140.35

Value

$142.5

PnL

+$2.15

Record

93%

22615-1734 (24349)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100
Up

Invested

$27.36

Value

$28.08

PnL

+$0.72

Record

63%

51234-30144 (81378)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Up

Invested

$17.76

Value

$32

PnL

+$14.24

Record

58%

37375-26622 (63997)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

$35.76

Value

$20.19

PnL

-$10.47

Record

51%

19791-18936 (38727)

G-Penis-Monster<$100
Up

Invested

$7.41

Value

$12.06

PnL

+$4.65

Record

62%

43587-26530 (70117)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$11.78

Value

$12

PnL

+$0.22

Record

52%

89418-83862 (173280)

BoneOhio<$100
Up

Invested

$4.5

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.5

Record

74%

102141-36314 (138455)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$9.3

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$6.16

Record

65%

21722-11935 (33657)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x0589b706...61d625
Slug
eth-updown-15m-1793205900

Traders in this Market

UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Down — $0

-$228.96
AS

aswfadq1555

CTR

Down — $0

-$144.91
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$156.92
HO

hoodquant

Up — $142.5

+$2.15

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $28.08

+$0.72
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $32

+$14.24
DE

devonpoll

Up — $20.19

-$10.47

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $12.06

+$4.65
DV

dvasdkasodk

Up — $12

+$0.22

BoneOhio

Up — $5

+$0.5
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