Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
14
Down 54%
$1.2K
-$73.96
Smart Money Signal
7 of 14 top traders (50%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $894.9 | $903.94 | +$9.04 | 93% 22581-1734 (24315) |
TM tmsd-test | Downavg 69.6Β’ | $81.41 | $117 | +$35.59 | 54% 14355-12167 (26522) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 88.5Β’ | $51.91 | $47.97 | -$2.59 | 65% 21685-11906 (33591) |
![]() wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 60.2Β’ | $27.08 | $45 | +$17.93 | 58% 12503-9152 (21655) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 27Β’ | $64.72 | β | -$64.72 | 57% 69844-53054 (122898) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 49Β’ | $24.03 | β | -$24.03 | 58% 50794-36925 (87719) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 87.5Β’ | $24.68 | $28.21 | +$3.53 | 63% 51208-30132 (81340) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 82.6Β’ | $20.98 | $22.26 | +$1.28 | 51% 6811-6496 (13307) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 21.3Β’ | $35.65 | β | -$35.65 | 55% 17240-13879 (31119) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Upavg 14.9Β’ | $14.24 | β | -$14.24 | 54% 15174-13082 (28256) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $0.96 | $1.96 | +$1 | 58% 37375-26622 (63997) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 14Β’ | $1.05 | β | -$1.05 | 52% 89386-83832 (173218) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.04 | β | -$0.04 | 47% 392-448 (840) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19772-18923 (38695) |
Invested
$894.9
Value
$903.94
PnL
+$9.04
Record
93%
22581-1734 (24315)
Invested
$81.41
Value
$117
PnL
+$35.59
Record
54%
14355-12167 (26522)
Invested
$51.91
Value
$47.97
PnL
-$2.59
Record
65%
21685-11906 (33591)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$27.08
Value
$45
PnL
+$17.93
Record
58%
12503-9152 (21655)
Invested
$64.72
Value
β
PnL
-$64.72
Record
57%
69844-53054 (122898)
Invested
$24.03
Value
β
PnL
-$24.03
Record
58%
50794-36925 (87719)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$24.68
Value
$28.21
PnL
+$3.53
Record
63%
51208-30132 (81340)
Invested
$20.98
Value
$22.26
PnL
+$1.28
Record
51%
6811-6496 (13307)
Invested
$35.65
Value
β
PnL
-$35.65
Record
55%
17240-13879 (31119)
Invested
$14.24
Value
β
PnL
-$14.24
Record
54%
15174-13082 (28256)
Invested
$0.96
Value
$1.96
PnL
+$1
Record
58%
37375-26622 (63997)
Invested
$1.05
Value
β
PnL
-$1.05
Record
52%
89386-83832 (173218)
Invested
$0.04
Value
β
PnL
-$0.04
Record
47%
392-448 (840)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19772-18923 (38695)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $903.94
tmsd-test
Down β $117
aaa221
Down β $47.97

wowitsamazing
Down β $45
uninformedfloww
CTRUp β $0
PBot-6
CTRUp β $0

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $28.21
ply-pm2
Down β $22.26
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp β $0
aswfadq1555
CTRUp β $0