Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Up 14%
$257.97
-$443.39
Smart Money Signal
2 of 8 top traders (25%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TM tmsd-testCTR | Upavg 26.9¢ | $488.92 | — | -$488.92 | 54% 14345-12152 (26497) |
 UpandDownSyndrome | Downavg 89.5¢ | $98.28 | $109.81 | +$11.53 | 63% 51142-30102 (81244) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $35.13 | $50.18 | +$15.05 | 74% 102112-36306 (138418) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 60.6¢ | $32.65 | $31.42 | +$0.86 | 65% 21538-11836 (33374) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 60.1¢ | $23.26 | $31 | +$7.74 | 51% 6745-6431 (13176) |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Downavg 71.5¢ | $16.5 | $18.45 | +$1.95 | 54% 15162-13063 (28225) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $8.73 | $17.12 | +$8.39 | 56% 57536-44436 (101972) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19747-18896 (38643) |
Invested
$488.92
Value
—
PnL
-$488.92
Record
54%
14345-12152 (26497)
UpandDownSyndromeInvested
$98.28
Value
$109.81
PnL
+$11.53
Record
63%
51142-30102 (81244)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$35.13
Value
$50.18
PnL
+$15.05
Record
74%
102112-36306 (138418)
Invested
$32.65
Value
$31.42
PnL
+$0.86
Record
65%
21538-11836 (33374)
Invested
$23.26
Value
$31
PnL
+$7.74
Record
51%
6745-6431 (13176)
Invested
$16.5
Value
$18.45
PnL
+$1.95
Record
54%
15162-13063 (28225)
Invested
$8.73
Value
$17.12
PnL
+$8.39
Record
56%
57536-44436 (101972)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19747-18896 (38643)
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