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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Resolved Down. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Up 36%

Total Value

$668.41

Combined PnL

$-1.4K

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 12 top traders (42%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders
Total Value$668.41
Total Shares668
Combined PnL+$34.69
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,025
Combined PnL$-1.4K
Down — 58%Up — 42%
HO
hoodquant
Down

Invested

$222.17

Value

$224.45

PnL

+$2.28

Record

93%

22517-1732 (24249)

PL
ply-pm2CTR
Up

Invested

$189.75

Value

—

PnL

-$189.75

Record

51%

6745-6431 (13176)

wowitsamazing
Down

Invested

$168.6

Value

$238.41

PnL

+$69.81

Record

58%

12488-9145 (21633)

TM
tmsd-testCTR
Up

Invested

$1,151.73

Value

—

PnL

$-1.1K

Record

54%

14345-12152 (26497)

AA
aaa221
Down

Invested

$100.61

Value

$60

PnL

-$34.17

Record

65%

21538-11836 (33374)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Down

Invested

$48.08

Value

$50.08

PnL

+$2

Record

56%

57536-44436 (101972)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100
Down

Invested

$39.55

Value

$40.63

PnL

+$1.08

Record

55%

17200-13832 (31032)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$80.47

Value

—

PnL

-$80.47

Record

57%

69712-52987 (122699)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100
Down

Invested

$39.1

Value

$29.66

PnL

-$9.44

Record

63%

51142-30102 (81244)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$22.07

Value

$25.19

PnL

+$3.12

Record

52%

89283-83737 (173020)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.6

Value

—

PnL

-$2.6

Record

58%

60083-43855 (103938)

DE
devonpollCTR<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19747-18896 (38643)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xaeed2919...2d492b
Slug
eth-updown-15m-1793184300

Traders in this Market

HO

hoodquant

Down — $224.45

+$2.28
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$189.75

wowitsamazing

Down — $238.41

+$69.81
TM

tmsd-test

CTR

Up — $0

$-1.1K
AA

aaa221

Down — $60

-$34.17
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $50.08

+$2
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $40.63

+$1.08
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Up — $0

-$80.47

UpandDownSyndrome

Down — $29.66

-$9.44
DV

dvasdkasodk

Down — $25.19

+$3.12
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