Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Up 50%
$108.98
-$165.83
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 75.4Β’ | $63.11 | $59 | -$4.11 | 51% 6717-6412 (13129) |
TM tmsd-testCTR | Downavg 20.8Β’ | $101.39 | β | -$101.39 | 54% 14344-12148 (26492) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Downavg 28Β’ | $39.55 | β | -$39.55 | 54% 15162-13057 (28219) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 83Β’ | $17.3 | $15.25 | -$2.05 | 55% 17200-13831 (31031) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 67.7Β’ | $19.4 | $14.48 | +$2.03 | 65% 21488-11804 (33292) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 80Β’ | $16.2 | $20.25 | +$4.05 | 51% 19736-18893 (38629) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 42.5Β’ | $5.56 | β | -$5.56 | 52% 89240-83721 (172961) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 51.7Β’ | $19.24 | β | -$19.24 | 57% 69652-52957 (122609) |
Invested
$63.11
Value
$59
PnL
-$4.11
Record
51%
6717-6412 (13129)
Invested
$101.39
Value
β
PnL
-$101.39
Record
54%
14344-12148 (26492)
Invested
$39.55
Value
β
PnL
-$39.55
Record
54%
15162-13057 (28219)
Invested
$17.3
Value
$15.25
PnL
-$2.05
Record
55%
17200-13831 (31031)
Invested
$19.4
Value
$14.48
PnL
+$2.03
Record
65%
21488-11804 (33292)
Invested
$16.2
Value
$20.25
PnL
+$4.05
Record
51%
19736-18893 (38629)
Invested
$5.56
Value
β
PnL
-$5.56
Record
52%
89240-83721 (172961)
Invested
$19.24
Value
β
PnL
-$19.24
Record
57%
69652-52957 (122609)
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